NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	2.9 [1165]		MVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): +3.5%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.0 [1226]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -9.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	21	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	7	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	7%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	12	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	12	50%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	12	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	-0.12	24	48%	0.05	5	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	28.3	15.4	23.6	2.4	31.6	127.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.4%

WAS +8.1%

CHI -2.1%

CHI -0.2%

WAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.6	94.3	100.0	102.3
season	15.6	16.5		96.3	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.1	15.7	15.8	13.4	15.4
WAS	14.2	18.6	19.3	16.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.28	11	-17	28	14.2	15.8	-1.65	19.4	16.3	3.02
Fred Hoiberg	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-10	14	16.0	15.4	0.62	22.7	16.4	6.32
Kevin Ollie	36	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.52	17	-23	40	13.1	17.0	-3.90	17.2	17.0	0.12
Eddy Curry	16	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	16.1	15.3	0.76	15.6	17.5	-1.85
A.J. Guyton	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.6	-0.54	17.3	17.0	0.35
Metta World Peace	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.33	4	-10	14	15.8	14.7	1.07	17.7	15.7	2.03
Marcus Fizer	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-13	20	13.9	17.4	-3.58	16.9	17.3	-0.38
Trenton Hassell	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	4	-14	14.7	15.8	-1.07	15.7	17.7	-2.03
Greg Anthony	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.19	-17	11	-28	18.0	14.1	3.90	16.0	17.7	-1.72
Charles Oakley	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	3	-12	16.1	14.5	1.64	16.6	17.9	-1.36
Brad Miller	36	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	12	-30	17.5	14.0	3.43	17.8	16.7	1.14
Ron Mercer	78	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	15.4	15.9	-0.52	16.6	20.7	-4.15

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-12	30	16.3	20.2	-3.86	15.7	14.5	1.13
Michael Jordan	69	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-11	28	17.2	16.6	0.57	16.1	13.5	2.58
Popeye Jones	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-6	18	16.8	18.0	-1.17	15.7	14.4	1.29
Hubert Davis	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	17.8	14.5	3.34	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Jahidi White	30	31	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	-12	30	16.6	17.3	-0.69	17.8	14.1	3.70
Tyrone Nesby	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	10	-14	15.8	18.8	-2.97	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Brendan Haywood	54	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	15	-24	17.8	16.0	1.80	14.3	17.0	-2.73
Bobby Simmons	5	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	12	-18	13.4	17.3	-3.91	12.5	15.6	-3.08
Kwame Brown	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	11	-16	20.4	16.8	3.61	15.6	15.4	0.14
Tyronn Lue	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	18	-30	19.5	16.4	3.03	13.8	15.9	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, NJN 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NYK 85, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 85, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%