inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 85 Excitement2.5 [1226] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +15.2%
Detroit Pistons 100 Comeback1.0 [1264] LVPKurt Thomas (NYK): -5.8%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vin Baker0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01873%0.081-0.02683%0.01
DerMarr Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.041259%0.063-0.035100%0.01
Othella Harrington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09320%-0.001-0.00450%-0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01440%-0.0100.002100%-0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.020,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031146%-0.002-0.02475%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031440%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.00862%-0.003-0.03520%-0.01
Moochie Norris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.12-0.01-0.08733%-0.014-0.031100%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.060,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02822%-0.0600.002100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.160.000.011183%0.1500.002100%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.01868%0.0800.003100%0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02862%0.0410.005100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.021358%0.052-0.015100%0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.041440%0.0100.0020%-0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0700%0.0020.0020%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.100.00-0.1050%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.041144%0.012-0.043100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.80.830.416.525.02.033.0136.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.3%
DET +3.2%
DET +1.4%
DET +10.9%
DET +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKDETNBANYKDETNBA
this game17.015.215.795.5111.1100.5
season15.516.298.699.2
opponent16.015.892.6100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK17.017.416.717.017.0
DET13.814.514.718.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Othella Harrington2526-0.01-0.490.48-0.258-233116.417.2-0.8316.814.52.33
Michael Sweetney4949-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-182116.417.7-1.3216.114.02.09
Moochie Norris4446-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-151516.417.6-1.2115.714.61.08
Vin Baker5556-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-7-116.917.2-0.3815.315.00.35
Nazr Mohammed4041-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-6-316.917.1-0.1414.515.8-1.24
Kurt Thomas3434-0.36-0.14-0.230.10-161-1718.216.31.9014.415.7-1.25
Stephon Marbury5655-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-172-1917.416.41.0114.915.6-0.67
DerMarr Johnson7171-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-2-1117.515.22.2315.215.10.17
Shandon Anderson7172-0.50-0.00-0.490.18-238-3116.817.6-0.7714.418.3-3.86

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups61610.430.070.36-0.2423-83114.616.4-1.7616.817.5-0.68
Richard Hamilton56560.400.100.31-0.2121-62714.117.0-2.9117.017.0-0.05
Tayshaun Prince52510.400.100.31-0.2723-83114.116.7-2.5917.216.80.41
Ben Wallace67650.380.120.25-0.3023-83114.716.7-2.0817.017.00.06
Elden Campbell48470.200.30-0.100.11312-915.714.61.0217.017.00.05
Mehmet Okur27270.200.30-0.11-0.0796314.515.5-0.9616.917.1-0.21
Corliss Williamson29300.160.34-0.180.07312-915.615.00.5417.416.80.65
Darvin Ham32310.150.35-0.200.27-419-2316.114.71.4016.717.2-0.45
Lindsey Hunter40390.110.39-0.290.22-419-2316.714.02.6717.516.60.82
Mike James24240.070.43-0.360.37-1025-3516.514.71.7916.017.4-1.31
Darko Milicic14140.000.50-0.500.35-1227-3919.014.54.5117.616.90.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 86, NYK 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
NYK 97, BOS 1090.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
PHX 98, NYK 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,197.1%