NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	3.3 [1165]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +10.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	1.0 [870]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -10.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	11	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	17	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	17	49%	0.05	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	11	18%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	23	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	69%	0.12	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	86%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	11	27%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.5	15.4	23.8	1.7	31.3	125.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +40.7%

DET -3.0%

DET -5.4%

NOP +14.8%

NOP +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOP	NBA	DET	NOP	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.9	104.2	122.3	105.1
season	15.0	14.3		104.9	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	15.9	16.7	15.2	16.1
NOP	12.7	12.4	16.0	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-17	18	15.5	16.6	-1.07	14.5	14.2	0.32
Anthony Tolliver	23	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	16.6	16.0	0.59	14.7	14.2	0.49
Brandon Jennings	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-15	14	15.4	16.6	-1.24	14.7	14.1	0.67
Aron Baynes	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-8	0	16.4	16.0	0.40	14.4	14.3	0.07
Andre Drummond	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-8	0	16.0	16.4	-0.40	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Reggie Jackson	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-1	-14	16.6	15.4	1.24	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Ersan Ilyasova	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	16.0	16.6	-0.59	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-5	-6	16.0	16.5	-0.46	14.5	13.4	1.08
Marcus Morris	72	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	6	-28	16.5	14.8	1.76	14.1	15.2	-1.10

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	0	16	14.9	13.3	1.66	16.2	16.0	0.23
Anthony Davis	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	1	14	14.8	13.2	1.59	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Ryan Anderson	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	14.1	14.8	-0.72	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Alonzo Gee	58	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	7	2	14.1	14.8	-0.74	15.5	17.2	-1.76
Norris Cole	60	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	9	-2	14.4	14.2	0.23	15.9	16.5	-0.52
Omer Asik	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	9	-2	14.7	14.1	0.52	17.1	15.5	1.67
Toney Douglas	22	21	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	10	-4	13.6	14.6	-0.99	16.9	15.9	0.95
Dante Cunningham	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	9	-2	14.8	14.1	0.74	17.2	15.5	1.76
Jrue Holiday	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	10	-4	13.7	15.0	-1.27	16.0	16.2	-0.14
Alexis Ajinca	18	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	16	-16	12.7	14.7	-2.08	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	20.0	14.3	5.71	10.0	16.2	-6.18
Bryce Dejean-Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	20.0	14.3	5.71	10.0	16.2	-6.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NOH 93, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	96.6%