NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	6.0 [669]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +21.0%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	1.4 [768]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -14.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	21	61%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.05	-0.02	15	72%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.07	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	25	48%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.05	25	54%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	16	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	9	15%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	0.6	28.2	14.8	24.0	0.3	28.2	121.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +23.9%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +2.2%

TOR +21.0%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.3	111.7	102.9	109.3
season	14.3	14.3		111.5	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.5		109.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	15.6	12.9	15.5	14.8
BKN	12.8	13.8	14.3	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	77	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.01	21	-11	32	14.5	15.7	-1.15	13.4	12.9	0.45
Kyle Lowry	72	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-2	14	15.1	14.1	1.01	13.4	12.9	0.51
Kawhi Leonard	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	1	8	14.6	15.3	-0.66	13.3	13.2	0.02
Marc Gasol	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	1	8	14.8	14.8	0.02	13.8	12.6	1.13
Danny Green	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	2	6	14.6	15.1	-0.59	13.6	12.8	0.80
Fred VanVleet	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	8	-6	15.2	14.5	0.70	13.1	13.4	-0.23
Serge Ibaka	50	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	9	-8	14.9	14.8	0.09	13.0	13.5	-0.54
Norman Powell	27	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	14.3	15.0	-0.78	12.1	13.7	-1.63
Jeremy Lin	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	14	-18	14.7	14.9	-0.15	12.1	13.6	-1.50
Jodie Meeks	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	16	-22	16.0	14.5	1.46	13.7	13.1	0.65

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	12.8	13.4	-0.56	12.1	15.5	-3.44
Treveon Graham	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	13.7	13.2	0.53	12.5	15.4	-2.84
Jared Dudley	39	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-7	4	13.1	13.3	-0.21	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Ed Davis	17	18	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	14.4	13.0	1.39	16.4	14.5	1.95
Rodions Kurucs	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-9	8	12.6	13.7	-1.12	15.5	14.4	1.08
Jarrett Allen	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-6	2	13.7	12.7	1.05	15.2	14.4	0.79
Spencer Dinwiddie	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	13.0	13.9	-0.98	14.1	16.4	-2.34
Caris LeVert	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-11	12	13.8	12.6	1.21	15.9	13.7	2.16
DeMarre Carroll	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	2	-14	12.9	13.6	-0.68	14.7	15.0	-0.30
D'Angelo Russell	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	13.2	13.4	-0.25	15.5	13.3	2.21
Joe Harris	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	13.3	13.2	0.04	14.8	15.0	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 117, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.13,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 126, WAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.33,0.23,0.41,0.15,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.3%