NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	117		Excitement	5.7 [668]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +13.3%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	1.3 [457]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -20.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.04	20	65%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	23	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	16	32%	-0.16	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.01	0.11	13	81%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	26	46%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	24	54%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.02	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	24.6	16.4	24.4	2.4	26.6	119.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +18.7%

SEA +1.1%

SEA +6.6%

SEA +21.3%

SEA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	12.9	15.2	113.6	103.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		103.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.4		104.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.1	16.1	16.5	15.4	15.2
DAL	12.6	13.2	13.5	12.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	87	86	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-13	37	14.5	19.1	-4.67	13.2	11.4	1.81
Gary Payton	89	87	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.17	14	-3	17	14.8	17.6	-2.85	12.9	12.9	0.04
Horace Grant	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-2	15	14.7	16.9	-2.14	13.7	9.8	3.86
Rashard Lewis	74	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	2	7	14.8	16.1	-1.23	12.7	13.4	-0.71
Vin Baker	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	0	11	15.9	12.8	3.12	12.9	12.9	0.04
Ruben Patterson	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	10	-9	15.0	15.2	-0.25	13.3	12.8	0.54
Jelani McCoy	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	10	-9	15.3	15.2	0.18	12.4	13.0	-0.59
Vladimir Stepania	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	15	-19	14.9	15.3	-0.40	11.5	13.4	-1.88
Shammond Williams	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	18	-25	18.3	14.8	3.45	12.1	13.0	-0.87
Emanual Davis	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	18	-25	18.6	14.2	4.43	11.6	13.3	-1.67

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	14	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-14	17	11.2	13.2	-1.96	19.6	14.4	5.18
Shawn Bradley	53	54	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.31	11	-22	33	12.7	13.1	-0.46	16.4	13.8	2.65
Damon Jones	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-10	9	8.3	13.0	-4.71	17.7	15.1	2.56
Greg Buckner	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	12.7	12.9	-0.27	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Steve Nash	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	12.4	13.2	-0.75	13.4	16.2	-2.73
Erick Strickland	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	13.0	12.7	0.37	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Dirk Nowitzki	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	13.1	12.2	0.85	15.7	13.6	2.15
Cedric Ceballos	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	0	-11	13.0	12.7	0.27	14.5	18.1	-3.68
Michael Finley	102	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	12.9	0.0	12.90	15.2	0.0	15.18
Dennis Rodman	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	7	-25	13.5	11.7	1.76	14.7	16.2	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.13,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
HOU 127, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHI 94, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%