NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	5.0 [843]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +14.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.6 [363]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -11.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	11	66%	0.18	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	15	51%	0.12	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	11	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	53%	0.05	4	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.05	23	63%	0.20	6	-0.17	16	62%	-0.06
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	18	40%	-0.04	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	32.2	15.7	29.2	2.4	42.5	146.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +15.2%

ATL +11.5%

ATL +6.3%

ATL +14.8%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.6	106.4	101.1	104.4
season	15.6	16.2		103.9	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	16.4	19.2	16.5	16.5
CLE	15.8	14.2	15.0	12.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	60	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-6	18	16.0	17.4	-1.32	13.6	15.4	-1.74
Al Harrington	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	16.1	18.5	-2.40	14.4	13.9	0.49
Josh Childress	66	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	0	6	16.1	17.4	-1.26	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Josh Smith	55	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.30	1	5	-4	16.1	17.1	-1.06	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Joe Johnson	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	5	-4	17.1	13.9	3.24	14.3	14.3	-0.07
Salim Stoudamire	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	1	4	18.0	16.0	2.01	15.6	13.8	1.80
Zaza Pachulia	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	17.6	15.7	1.89	15.6	13.3	2.26
Marvin Williams	42	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	5	-4	16.4	16.6	-0.23	13.7	14.8	-1.18
Royal Ivey	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	13	-20	16.0	16.7	-0.68	14.4	14.2	0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-15	24	15.6	13.0	2.60	18.9	14.3	4.60
Luke Jackson	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	9.7	15.0	-5.20	9.0	17.6	-8.61
Zendon Hamilton	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	13.1	14.4	-1.32	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Alan Henderson	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-9	12	15.7	12.9	2.80	18.0	15.0	3.06
Mike Wilks	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	1	-8	14.3	14.3	0.09	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Drew Gooden	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	15.7	11.4	4.30	18.8	12.2	6.60
Donyell Marshall	49	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	1	-8	12.7	16.1	-3.44	14.1	19.3	-5.24
Larry Hughes	79	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	-4	2	14.0	15.7	-1.69	17.0	13.2	3.90
LeBron James	88	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.3	13.8	0.51	16.5	17.3	-0.88
Damon Jones	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	8	-22	13.3	15.5	-2.23	14.5	19.1	-4.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 115, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.2%
MIN 100, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
TOR 115, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	94.5%