NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +19.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.3 [918]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -13.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.22	0.03	0.04	21	70%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	15	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	14	79%	0.03
Quinn Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	19	57%	0.10	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	-0.00	0.06	23	75%	0.22	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	14	60%	0.10	5	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	17	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.6	15.4	27.2	2.4	31.6	132.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.1%

GSW +11.7%

POR -5.6%

GSW +3.8%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	12.7	16.1	14.3	115.0	105.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.9		114.5	112.6
opponent	13.9	15.0		109.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	12.4	11.2	15.7	12.7
POR	16.0	15.9	17.6	14.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.12	27	-17	44	11.8	14.7	-2.88	17.6	12.4	5.13
Jonas Jerebko	37	38	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	11.9	13.1	-1.25	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Stephen Curry	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	0	10	12.6	13.0	-0.44	17.1	13.4	3.72
Shaun Livingston	29	30	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	0	10	12.4	12.8	-0.33	16.9	15.8	1.11
Kevin Durant	72	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	7	-4	12.3	13.7	-1.39	16.2	16.0	0.12
Andre Iguodala	26	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	3	4	11.6	13.1	-1.44	16.8	15.9	0.85
Klay Thompson	68	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	13.3	11.3	1.97	16.3	15.7	0.67
Quinn Cook	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	12	-14	13.0	12.6	0.44	12.9	17.4	-4.43
Alfonzo McKinnie	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	17	-24	13.3	12.4	0.94	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Kevon Looney	51	50	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	13	-16	13.1	12.2	0.89	16.5	15.7	0.80
Jacob Evans	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	30.5	12.3	18.18	3.7	16.5	-12.84
Jordan Bell	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	17	-24	14.7	12.3	2.42	10.9	17.0	-6.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wade Baldwin IV	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	3.7	16.5	-12.84	25.0	12.3	12.70
Jake Layman	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	3.7	16.5	-12.84	25.0	12.3	12.70
Caleb Swanigan	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	3.7	16.5	-12.84	25.0	12.3	12.70
Jusuf Nurkic	64	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-15	20	16.3	15.7	0.62	13.2	11.6	1.61
Zach Collins	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-8	6	13.5	16.5	-3.06	12.9	12.6	0.28
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-8	6	16.7	15.4	1.31	12.7	12.6	0.11
Damian Lillard	80	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-13	16	16.1	16.2	-0.16	12.7	12.8	-0.14
CJ McCollum	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-8	6	16.6	14.8	1.85	13.2	11.4	1.83
Nik Stauskas	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-1	-8	14.6	16.6	-1.96	13.5	12.4	1.04
Maurice Harkless	79	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	16.3	15.3	1.06	12.7	12.7	-0.08
Seth Curry	34	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	1	-12	16.6	15.9	0.66	11.1	13.5	-2.45
Meyers Leonard	33	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	7	-24	16.8	15.8	1.04	10.3	13.7	-3.42
Evan Turner	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	7	-24	17.3	15.4	1.86	10.7	13.9	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
MIN 100, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	94.7%