NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	6.2 [613]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +32.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.3 [1239]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): -24.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.29	0.06	0.03	20	80%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	5	93%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andre Ingram	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	17	39%	0.04	3	-0.07	10	70%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	25%	-0.13	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.25	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	16	41%	-0.05	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.04	-0.02	14	70%	0.23	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	14	74%	0.25	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.02	20	71%	0.25	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	21%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	0.00	4	-0.10	10	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.7	12.8	27.9	0.3	34.8	134.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.9%

LAL -3.9%

MIL +12.9%

LAL -7.7%

MIL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.1	13.6	14.3	94.4	105.5	109.3
season	13.5	13.5		107.2	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.2		104.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	13.6	12.3	13.7	13.1
MIL	13.4	12.2	13.4	15.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnathan Williams	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-14	14	10.2	13.5	-3.28	16.8	13.2	3.69
Andre Ingram	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	5.3	13.3	-7.96	24.5	13.4	11.11
Isaac Bonga	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	5.3	13.3	-7.96	24.5	13.4	11.11
Josh Hart	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-22	30	12.5	13.4	-0.84	15.1	12.8	2.29
Alex Caruso	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-17	20	13.2	13.0	0.19	15.7	12.1	3.56
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	13.5	12.2	1.22	13.9	12.8	1.12
Moritz Wagner	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	2	-18	11.7	13.8	-2.04	14.1	13.3	0.78
Mike Muscala	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-7	0	12.3	13.3	-0.95	12.5	14.0	-1.48
JaVale McGee	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-16	18	13.6	12.0	1.56	13.1	14.5	-1.35
Reggie Bullock	56	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	3	-20	13.7	12.3	1.44	12.0	15.4	-3.34
Rajon Rondo	89	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	-4	-6	13.2	12.3	0.88	13.2	15.6	-2.35
Kyle Kuzma	80	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.18	-27	13	-40	13.7	11.1	2.61	12.5	17.2	-4.67

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	83	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.05	24	-10	34	12.6	16.9	-4.37	14.3	9.3	4.96
Eric Bledsoe	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	4	6	13.3	14.1	-0.82	13.3	12.5	0.78
Brook Lopez	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	6	2	13.2	14.8	-1.63	14.0	10.6	3.45
George Hill	39	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	0	14	13.9	13.4	0.47	14.6	12.3	2.34
Pat Connaughton	84	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	0	14	13.9	12.6	1.24	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Nikola Mirotic	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	-1	16	13.0	14.4	-1.40	12.9	13.3	-0.33
D.J. Wilson	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	7	0	14.2	12.5	1.73	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Tony Snell	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	21	-28	14.6	13.1	1.48	11.4	13.9	-2.52
Tim Frazier	27	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.22	-18	32	-50	15.6	13.0	2.60	10.4	14.0	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 60, IND 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
CHI 111, MIA 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%