NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	60		Excitement	5.1 [795]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +3.2%
Indiana Pacers	71		Comeback	1.2 [1079]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -20.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	3	37%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Rodney White	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	16	40%	-0.12	4	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	11	9%	-0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.03	-0.02	13	8%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	18	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	12	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	8	22%	-0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	19	40%	-0.09	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	29.3	16.8	27.3	2.3	31.3	132.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.8%

IND +2.0%

DEN -6.8%

IND +9.7%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	IND	NBA	DEN	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	17.0	15.7	67.4	79.8	100.5
season	14.9	16.7		101.6	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		94.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	16.9	15.5	14.8	15.4
IND	14.9	16.6	17.2	19.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	13	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.29	13	-24	37	17.1	15.1	1.96	19.0	16.6	2.39
Chris Andersen	35	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-20	29	16.1	15.0	1.08	17.8	16.4	1.36
Earl Boykins	53	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-18	25	15.4	15.4	0.03	17.5	16.2	1.36
Jon Barry	47	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-19	27	15.1	15.8	-0.72	18.1	15.7	2.43
Rodney White	46	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-16	21	15.4	15.4	-0.07	17.9	16.0	1.89
Francisco Elson	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-6	1	15.8	15.1	0.65	17.5	16.6	0.87
Nene	37	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	2	-15	14.1	16.4	-2.31	16.6	17.2	-0.56
Andre Miller	45	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	6	-23	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.8	18.3	-2.47
Voshon Lenard	48	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	11	-33	15.2	15.7	-0.52	15.4	18.9	-3.53
Carmelo Anthony	37	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	9	-29	15.8	15.1	0.65	16.2	17.5	-1.36
Marcus Camby	47	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	9	-29	15.5	15.3	0.22	16.4	17.6	-1.12

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.04	22	-11	33	16.3	20.6	-4.38	15.4	15.4	0.06
Jeff Foster	58	58	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.04	19	-8	27	17.0	16.9	0.08	14.1	17.8	-3.69
Metta World Peace	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-4	19	17.0	16.9	0.09	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Reggie Miller	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-4	19	16.5	17.9	-1.38	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Anthony Johnson	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	17.3	16.6	0.73	16.0	14.8	1.20
Kenny Anderson	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	16.6	17.3	-0.73	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Al Harrington	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.29	-8	19	-27	17.4	16.5	0.85	16.3	14.5	1.85
Fred Jones	29	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	18	-25	17.6	16.7	0.89	15.6	15.3	0.34
Austin Croshere	2	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	16	-21	26.0	16.7	9.25	9.0	15.5	-6.48
Scot Pollard	9	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	18	-25	19.4	16.7	2.77	21.3	14.9	6.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	94.6%
ATL 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.6%
CHI 111, MIA 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%