NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	117		Excitement	7.2 [444]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +36.6%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	4.2 [211]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -8.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37	0.14	0.21	-0.01	17	61%	0.37	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	19	60%	0.19	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Evan Fournier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	12	73%	0.22	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	87%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Khem Birch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	17	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	12	77%	0.18	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	26.1	15.4	26.7	1.7	33.7	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.6%

IND -3.8%

ORL +30.3%

ORL +8.9%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.3	123.2	117.9	109.3
season	14.9	14.5		107.2	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		105.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	13.6	16.7	15.3	15.3
IND	15.6	14.6	15.3	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	54	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Wes Iwundu	33	33	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	15.5	15.1	0.37	15.3	14.9	0.35
Jerian Grant	22	23	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-4	13	15.7	15.1	0.59	16.1	14.7	1.38
Khem Birch	31	31	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-5	15	14.5	15.6	-1.12	16.4	14.4	2.00
Jonathan Isaac	54	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	6	-7	15.5	15.0	0.48	15.7	14.2	1.56
Isaiah Briscoe	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	9	-13	16.2	14.7	1.53	13.9	15.8	-1.84
Aaron Gordon	74	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-1	7	15.1	15.9	-0.75	14.9	15.4	-0.42
Nikola Vucevic	64	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	10	-15	15.6	14.5	1.12	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Evan Fournier	71	72	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	14.9	16.3	-1.42	14.8	15.7	-0.86
D.J. Augustin	36	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	5	-5	14.3	15.8	-1.51	15.5	14.7	0.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Leaf	23	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.0	0.12	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Doug McDermott	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	16.3	14.6	1.74	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Darren Collison	66	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-10	15	14.6	16.1	-1.58	15.6	14.4	1.16
Tyreke Evans	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.5	14.5	2.01	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Myles Turner	61	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-9	13	14.4	16.2	-1.81	15.7	14.4	1.30
Cory Joseph	46	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	15.0	15.1	-0.08	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Kyle O'Quinn	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	4	-13	16.2	14.4	1.81	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Wesley Matthews	61	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.6	14.5	1.08
Thaddeus Young	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.1	-0.12	15.5	14.4	1.13
Bojan Bogdanovic	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.4	-0.52	15.8	14.3	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.31,0.38,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, ATL 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.07,0.11,0,0	92.9%
PHI 117, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	92.8%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.8%