NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	7.9 [293]		MVP	Mike Scott (PHI): +32.5%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	6.9 [316]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -16.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.19	0.14	0.00	7	106%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	15	81%	0.36	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Al Horford	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	18	56%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
James Ennis III	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shake Milton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Matisse Thybulle	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	12	38%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	13	39%	0.01	5	-0.18	7	43%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	7	81%	0.13	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.09	21	70%	0.12	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	10	43%	-0.12	2	-0.03	10	30%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.8	1.8	28.4	15.4	24.6	2.3	37.5	144.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.3%

PHI +16.9%

PHI +10.1%

DET -17.4%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	13.3	14.2	105.4	104.7	109.6
season	14.8	15.1		110.0	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.9	14.6	13.5	13.1	13.3
DET	13.0	12.0	15.9	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	51	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	14.1	12.5	1.56	12.2	14.2	-2.06
Al Horford	79	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-3	12	13.2	13.4	-0.22	13.7	12.4	1.27
Josh Richardson	87	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-4	14	13.2	13.5	-0.32	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Shake Milton	28	26	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-3	12	14.6	12.8	1.76	12.6	13.5	-0.95
Ben Simmons	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-1	8	12.3	16.0	-3.63	13.4	13.1	0.28
Raul Neto	12	11	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	4	-2	16.2	12.9	3.27	14.1	13.2	0.89
Tobias Harris	81	78	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	8	-10	13.3	13.2	0.03	13.9	11.7	2.19
James Ennis III	26	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	13.7	13.1	0.62	13.2	13.3	-0.07
Matisse Thybulle	56	52	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	3	0	12.4	14.1	-1.77	14.2	12.4	1.80
Kyle O'Quinn	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	13	-20	13.4	13.2	0.20	12.2	13.8	-1.61
Furkan Korkmaz	19	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.10	-13	19	-32	13.4	13.2	0.20	12.0	13.6	-1.56

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	35	38	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.23	-1	-5	4	13.0	13.4	-0.44	13.1	13.4	-0.30
Markieff Morris	60	62	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-9	12	13.1	13.6	-0.48	13.0	13.6	-0.64
Tim Frazier	45	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-3	0	14.5	12.4	2.04	13.1	13.4	-0.27
Andre Drummond	54	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	13.1	13.4	-0.29	13.9	12.6	1.36
Christian Wood	41	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	13.6	13.1	0.44	13.9	12.8	1.11
Thon Maker	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	13.4	13.1	0.29	12.6	13.9	-1.36
Tony Snell	57	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	4	-14	12.6	14.1	-1.54	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Langston Galloway	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.1	12.4	1.76	13.3	13.2	0.14
Derrick Rose	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	12.4	14.5	-2.04	13.4	13.1	0.27
Luke Kennard	69	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.55	-3	-3	0	13.4	13.1	0.24	13.5	12.7	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.11,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.31,0.38,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	92.8%
POR 100, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	91.8%
POR 98, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	91.3%