NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	7.4 [327]		MVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): +9.3%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	4.8 [458]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -54.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	15	69%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	63%	0.13	2	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	14	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.05
Greg Anthony	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	108%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	22	51%	0.12	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	8	56%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.43,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.58,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54	-0.54	-0.35	-0.20	-0.00	28	29%	-0.28	8	-0.26	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	30.6	16.7	22.3	2.4	36.3	134.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.5%

BOS -0.4%

POR +8.2%

POR +9.2%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.5	101.0	93.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.1		103.9	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	16.7	14.8	14.1	15.0
BOS	12.8	17.6	15.2	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	63	61	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-8	24	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.4	13.9	1.52
Shawn Kemp	44	42	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-3	14	15.4	14.7	0.71	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Scottie Pippen	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-6	20	14.8	15.8	-1.00	15.5	12.8	2.63
Damon Stoudamire	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	1	6	14.8	15.8	-0.97	14.8	15.0	-0.29
Rasheed Wallace	91	90	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	14.9	16.5	-1.58	14.9	13.8	1.06
Stacey Augmon	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	13	-18	14.3	15.3	-1.00	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Greg Anthony	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	7	-6	15.8	14.8	0.97	15.0	14.8	0.29
Dale Davis	53	54	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	12	-16	15.5	14.4	1.12	15.7	13.6	2.10
Bonzi Wells	38	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	17	-26	14.8	15.2	-0.38	13.3	15.8	-2.58

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	14	13	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-15	22	14.8	14.8	-0.04	12.2	15.5	-3.31
Mark Blount	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-9	10	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.0	15.0	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-7	6	0.0	14.8	-14.82	21.0	15.0	6.04
Eric Williams	53	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-6	4	14.9	14.7	0.23	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Randy Brown	25	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.6	14.2	2.46	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Kenny Anderson	71	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	14.2	16.6	-2.46	15.2	14.7	0.49
Bryant Stith	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.0	16.2	-2.22	15.6	14.2	1.42
Vitaly Potapenko	47	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	0	-8	15.1	14.6	0.47	15.2	14.8	0.45
Antoine Walker	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	0	-8	15.3	11.9	3.35	15.3	13.3	1.98
Paul Pierce	81	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.22	-13	5	-18	14.8	14.7	0.11	14.8	16.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.16,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	94.0%
CHA 109, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.04,0	93.0%
POR 100, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	92.6%