NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	6.9 [473]		MVP	Jonathan Gibson (DAL): +16.4%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	5.4 [356]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -10.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.02	9	70%	0.24	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	11	48%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	15	56%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	5	100%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	1	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	14	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	9	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.01	21	59%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	13	57%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	18	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.4	15.5	27.5	2.4	36.5	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.2%

CHA +21.3%

CHA +14.4%

DAL -12.0%

CHA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.6	14.8	113.5	107.4	107.7
season	15.1	16.2		107.9	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.5	15.6	14.1	13.1	13.8
DAL	17.5	16.5	16.6	15.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	41	42	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-3	14	14.9	13.0	1.85	15.6	17.3	-1.69
Marco Belinelli	64	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	5	-2	13.3	14.7	-1.34	15.3	18.9	-3.58
Roy Hibbert	43	42	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-3	14	13.8	13.8	0.04	17.0	16.2	0.72
Kemba Walker	69	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	14.1	12.9	1.20	16.6	16.4	0.18
Nicolas Batum	76	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	13.2	15.9	-2.73	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Cody Zeller	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	13.7	13.9	-0.22	16.7	16.4	0.21
Ramon Sessions	27	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	2	4	12.9	14.1	-1.20	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Spencer Hawes	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	14.8	13.6	1.25	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Frank Kaminsky	43	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	10	-12	14.1	13.5	0.59	18.0	15.4	2.53
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	53	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	6	-4	13.8	13.8	0.04	18.0	14.8	3.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-11	14	18.1	16.1	2.03	12.9	14.0	-1.06
Salah Mejri	16	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-7	6	15.5	16.8	-1.27	14.0	13.7	0.25
Harrison Barnes	77	77	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-12	16	16.2	18.4	-2.20	13.8	13.6	0.27
Wesley Matthews	69	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-10	12	16.2	17.6	-1.43	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Devin Harris	38	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	15.1	17.5	-2.43	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Deron Williams	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-6	4	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.1	12.9	1.16
Jonathan Gibson	36	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	16.0	16.9	-0.90	12.8	14.4	-1.62
Justin Anderson	32	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	5	-18	17.5	16.1	1.44	14.2	13.6	0.55
Dorian Finney-Smith	49	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	6	-20	17.8	15.2	2.68	14.6	13.0	1.54
Dwight Powell	62	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	16.3	17.0	-0.63	14.0	13.5	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%
POR 105, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	92.3%
MIA 87, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.7%