NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	87		Excitement	5.4 [449]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (MIA): +16.7%
New York Knicks	72		Comeback	4.0 [104]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -17.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.06	-0.03	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.09	0.03	10	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	14	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	6	89%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rex Walters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	13	41%	-0.11	2	-0.05	13	46%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	75%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	11	42%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	15	34%	-0.03	4	-0.15	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	26.4	17.7	29.4	2.4	36.6	143.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +26.4%

MIA +3.5%

NYK -5.3%

MIA +27.0%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	18.9	15.8	106.1	88.9	99.6
season	16.6	16.0		101.3	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.7		95.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.1	17.9	17.3	15.6	16.4
NYK	17.6	23.4	17.0	18.7	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	35	35	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-4	23	16.4	16.4	-0.08	19.2	18.7	0.46
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-4	23	16.2	16.7	-0.53	19.6	17.9	1.65
Terry Porter	54	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-3	21	16.8	15.7	1.06	19.6	17.7	1.93
Alonzo Mourning	65	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	2	11	16.6	15.8	0.75	19.9	14.5	5.41
Tim Hardaway	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	2	11	16.1	17.5	-1.44	18.0	21.9	-4.00
Jamal Mashburn	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	10	-5	17.2	15.4	1.80	19.0	18.9	0.14
Duane Causwell	13	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.22	15.1	19.5	-4.45
Rex Walters	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	15.3	16.5	-1.12	9.5	19.2	-9.68
Keith Askins	10	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	18	-21	13.3	16.8	-3.55	16.0	19.3	-3.26
Dan Majerle	48	50	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	17	-19	17.1	15.4	1.71	19.3	18.4	0.95
P.J. Brown	25	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	19	-23	15.6	16.8	-1.11	18.2	19.3	-1.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	49	51	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-18	21	16.9	22.1	-5.27	16.5	16.3	0.15
Kurt Thomas	51	52	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-15	15	18.5	19.7	-1.21	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Herb Williams	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	10.2	19.4	-9.14	17.7	16.3	1.40
Rick Brunson	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-15	15	18.8	18.9	-0.15	17.7	16.3	1.40
Larry Johnson	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	-5	-5	18.7	20.0	-1.30	15.6	19.5	-3.86
Marcus Camby	33	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	19.3	18.7	0.67	16.7	16.2	0.55
Patrick Ewing	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-5	-5	21.2	14.4	6.80	16.8	15.6	1.23
Chris Childs	31	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	0	-15	21.1	17.6	3.55	16.6	16.3	0.24
Allan Houston	49	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	5	-25	18.1	20.2	-2.07	16.1	17.0	-0.91
Latrell Sprewell	63	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	1	-17	19.1	18.2	0.92	16.9	14.7	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.9%
LAL 122, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0	92.8%
PHX 106, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%