NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	6.7 [461]		MVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): +18.1%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	3.6 [225]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -15.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	15	59%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.02	13	70%	0.19	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.04	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luke Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	80%	0.13	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	9	67%	0.06	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	50%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	18	42%	0.02	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	10	27%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.5	15.0	24.1	2.5	34.2	130.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.7%

PHX +7.5%

SAC -21.9%

PHX +38.0%

SAC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.4	110.4	99.0	104.1
season	15.2	15.0		99.7	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	15.0	16.6	17.7	15.6
SAC	13.5	13.2	17.7	13.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	50	51	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.21	19	-9	28	16.1	15.1	1.01	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Michael Beasley	41	41	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-4	18	16.7	14.9	1.83	15.5	13.2	2.29
Shannon Brown	57	57	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-2	14	16.0	15.1	0.98	14.2	14.2	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	33	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-1	12	15.8	15.6	0.19	16.2	13.3	2.89
Luis Scola	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	0	10	15.9	15.2	0.64	13.4	15.7	-2.34
Goran Dragic	63	65	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	11	-12	15.6	15.8	-0.19	13.3	16.2	-2.89
Luke Zeller	2	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	15	-20	20.0	15.5	4.46	18.0	14.1	3.90
Jared Dudley	47	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	14.5	16.7	-2.16	13.3	15.1	-1.83
Wesley Johnson	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	17.2	15.4	1.85	17.1	13.8	3.30
Marcin Gortat	67	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	12	-14	14.6	17.9	-3.29	14.3	14.0	0.27
PJ Tucker	46	47	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	14	-18	15.3	15.9	-0.64	14.1	14.3	-0.17

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	17	18	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-18	26	10.1	15.1	-5.04	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Jimmer Fredette	10	10	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-17	24	10.2	14.7	-4.48	13.0	15.9	-2.94
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	13.9	15.4	-1.54	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Tyreke Evans	67	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	14.1	14.4	-0.27	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Jason Thompson	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-6	2	14.2	14.2	-0.01	17.4	15.2	2.23
Isaiah Thomas	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-3	-4	14.5	13.8	0.62	15.6	15.6	0.01
John Salmons	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	0	-10	14.1	14.4	-0.30	15.5	15.8	-0.25
James Johnson	44	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-7	4	14.0	14.4	-0.44	16.3	15.1	1.20
Marcus Thornton	31	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	14.2	14.2	-0.03	15.8	15.6	0.28
Charles Hayes	22	20	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	15.4	13.9	1.54	15.9	15.6	0.33
Thomas Robinson	51	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	15.9	12.3	3.64	14.8	16.6	-1.86
Aaron Brooks	28	27	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	1	-12	15.4	13.8	1.60	16.6	15.3	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.09,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%
DAL 119, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.53,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0	93.0%
ORL 101, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.8%