NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	119		Excitement	7.2 [409]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +36.7%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	5.0 [125]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37	0.23	0.15	0.01	21	73%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	18	70%	0.23	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	77%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	15	44%	-0.01	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	16	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	15	69%	0.10	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	24	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	12	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	33.1	0.2	25.3	3.0	41.3	129.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.9%

DAL +10.9%

PHX -13.4%

DAL +1.0%

PHX -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	15.5	114.4	109.7	104.0
season	14.9	13.5		108.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.6	12.4	14.3	13.1	14.0
PHX	16.1	14.3	12.9	12.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	40	41	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-3	12	12.9	14.6	-1.74	14.3	13.5	0.77
Calvin Booth	29	29	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	14.2	13.9	0.37	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Josh Howard	99	99	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-5	16	14.0	12.6	1.44	13.9	12.0	1.93
Dirk Nowitzki	96	96	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-2	10	14.2	11.6	2.54	13.6	16.9	-3.22
Michael Finley	97	96	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	6	-6	14.2	11.3	2.88	13.6	17.0	-3.37
Shawn Bradley	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	4	-2	12.5	14.2	-1.70	15.3	13.7	1.60
Alan Henderson	50	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	8	-10	14.9	13.1	1.87	14.8	13.0	1.72
Devin Harris	44	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	10	-14	12.7	14.9	-2.20	13.5	14.1	-0.52
Jason Terry	54	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	12	-18	14.2	13.7	0.56	13.4	14.4	-1.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	78	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-12	18	13.5	14.9	-1.41	14.8	11.4	3.40
Joe Johnson	82	82	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-13	20	13.9	13.8	0.06	14.7	11.4	3.31
Jake Voskuhl	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	12.9	14.0	-1.07	11.9	14.3	-2.36
Leandro Barbosa	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-3	0	13.0	14.4	-1.33	11.4	15.5	-4.14
Shawn Marion	84	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	13.3	16.2	-2.89	14.3	12.5	1.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	13.9	13.5	0.45	14.4	11.5	2.85
Walter McCarty	21	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	2	-10	16.3	13.2	3.05	12.2	14.5	-2.27
Jim Jackson	36	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	9	-24	14.7	13.4	1.33	12.8	14.6	-1.83
Steve Nash	74	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.26	-13	7	-20	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.2	13.2	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.53,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
LAL 122, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0	92.6%
CHI 97, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	92.1%