inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 97 Excitement6.0 [635] MVPMarcus Thornton (NOH): +24.0%
New Orleans Hornets 88 Comeback4.7 [356] LVPDavid Andersen (NOH): -13.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Bogans0.130,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.020.015110%0.1300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.001058%0.121-0.034100%0.03
Ronnie Brewer0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00564%0.0800.00475%0.00
Omer Asik0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.02350%0.0500.002100%0.02
Derrick Rose0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.001561%0.164-0.128100%0.04
CJ Watson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.00570%0.122-0.0900%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00475%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.010,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.010.041263%0.073-0.083100%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02536%-0.021-0.001100%0.01
Kurt Thomas-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00425%-0.042-0.0800%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.160.090.011571%0.2400.00475%-0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.050.00756%0.0800.004100%0.02
David West0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.011159%0.0600.00771%-0.01
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.030.01757%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.02-0.02830%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.01250%0.001-0.05650%-0.03
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.060.021050%-0.012-0.071080%0.02
David Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.0030%-0.072-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.529.516.431.42.528.5140.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +43.2%
CHI +9.6%
CHI +18.9%
NOH -24.4%
CHI +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHINOHNBACHINOHNBA
this game16.216.315.5110.298.9105.7
season15.716.2106.5104.6
opponent15.915.9104.499.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.016.217.516.516.2
NOH14.415.118.517.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Brewer44450.73-0.230.950.2616-72315.217.3-2.0917.215.41.79
Taj Gibson33330.64-0.140.780.2015-62114.817.1-2.2517.715.52.25
Omer Asik27280.390.110.280.1010-11114.916.8-1.9816.516.20.32
CJ Watson24240.260.240.010.2318-715.516.5-0.9416.416.30.14
Luol Deng70700.240.26-0.010.0472516.315.90.4316.216.9-0.74
Derrick Rose64650.240.26-0.010.0181716.515.50.9416.316.4-0.14
Kurt Thomas61610.110.39-0.280.14-110-1116.814.91.9816.216.5-0.32
Keith Bogans29300.020.48-0.45-0.0427-517.015.91.1015.916.5-0.68
Kyle Korver33330.000.50-0.490.21-716-2316.815.90.9015.816.6-0.74
Carlos Boozer5556-0.140.64-0.780.04-615-2117.114.82.2515.517.7-2.25

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray5251-0.15-0.350.21-0.202-111316.915.51.3716.515.90.53
David West7069-0.15-0.350.21-0.150-9916.316.4-0.0716.913.83.04
Jarrett Jack2726-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-6316.816.10.7214.716.9-2.12
Marcus Thornton4949-0.18-0.320.15-0.232-111316.316.30.0316.715.70.96
DJ Mbenga54-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-5123.415.97.5116.216.20.02
Marco Belinelli1616-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-2-515.916.4-0.4615.116.5-1.35
Jason Smith2526-0.20-0.300.100.06-90-914.816.9-2.0514.816.8-2.07
Trevor Ariza6463-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.19-3-6315.518.3-2.7316.914.62.22
Chris Paul6969-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.13-6-3-316.316.30.0216.415.70.69
David Andersen2626-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-2-515.316.7-1.4815.516.5-1.03
Willie Green4241-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-101-1117.315.41.8415.916.5-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.07,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 108, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.09,0.02,0.03,0,0,093.0%
LAL 122, LAC 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,092.7%
DEN 106, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.02,092.5%