NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	7.0 [446]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +12.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	4.7 [126]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -16.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	12	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Francisco Elson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Kenyon Martin	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	19	44%	-0.00	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	12	48%	-0.00	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	14	66%	0.05	7	-0.19	10	90%	0.06
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	29	50%	-0.02	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	29.2	18.3	28.6	3.5	39.3	147.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.2%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +9.7%

DEN +8.8%

DEN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	16.1	15.5	115.2	107.4	104.0
season	14.8	16.2		103.8	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.5	15.3	15.1	13.3	14.8
CLE	14.5	15.3	18.3	16.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-10	25	14.6	15.4	-0.80	16.6	14.4	2.17
Kenyon Martin	83	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-3	11	14.7	16.0	-1.33	16.0	18.1	-2.16
Carmelo Anthony	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-1	7	15.4	12.7	2.71	16.5	15.2	1.21
Francisco Elson	15	15	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-2	9	12.4	15.3	-2.87	17.6	15.9	1.73
Greg Buckner	39	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	2	1	15.3	14.5	0.83	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Nene	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	6	-7	15.5	12.5	3.02	16.8	14.0	2.75
Andre Miller	71	72	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.36	-8	13	-21	14.7	15.1	-0.44	15.8	17.3	-1.53
Bryon Russell	21	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	6	-7	12.7	15.4	-2.71	15.2	16.5	-1.21
Marcus Camby	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.8	-0.16	12.7	16.8	-4.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	36	35	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.01	11	-16	27	16.6	15.8	0.79	17.0	13.5	3.54
Sasha Pavlovic	26	26	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-15	25	15.5	16.4	-0.95	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Lucious Harris	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-11	17	15.4	16.6	-1.19	14.9	14.8	0.12
Ira Newble	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	19.4	15.7	3.64	14.3	14.9	-0.60
DeSagana Diop	4	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	21.7	15.9	5.85	10.7	15.0	-4.24
Eric Snow	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-6	7	17.1	15.7	1.37	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.9	17.1	-1.18	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Jerome Moiso	8	7	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	4	-13	16.1	16.2	-0.03	10.0	15.2	-5.20
Drew Gooden	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	4	-13	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Jeff McInnis	72	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	7	-19	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.0	14.3	0.72
LeBron James	84	81	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	16.5	13.6	2.85	14.8	14.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	92.5%
DAL 100, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	92.1%
BOS 88, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.17,0.1,0.06,0,0,0	91.9%