NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	9.3 [145]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +11.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	1.5 [436]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -20.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	16	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.02	22	64%	0.21	3	-0.12	9	78%	0.02
Harry Giles III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	18	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	48%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.25,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.26,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.09	0.01	30	60%	0.32	7	-0.34	8	75%	0.01
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	9	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.01	19	33%	-0.15	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	30.6	15.3	30.0	0.7	36.7	138.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.6%

SAC +17.1%

OKC -34.6%

SAC +24.3%

SAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	13.1	12.9	14.3	108.2	104.5	109.3
season	13.3	12.9		109.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.4	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	11.4	12.4	15.4	13.1
OKC	13.7	12.6	11.6	14.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	82	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	13.2	13.1	0.09	12.6	14.1	-1.51
Marvin Bagley III	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-6	15	13.0	13.4	-0.36	13.1	12.4	0.74
Yogi Ferrell	34	33	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	-4	11	12.2	13.5	-1.30	13.8	12.6	1.27
Harrison Barnes	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	6	-9	13.4	12.7	0.73	12.5	13.9	-1.41
Harry Giles III	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-6	15	13.3	13.0	0.30	14.4	12.1	2.34
De'Aaron Fox	77	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	6	-9	13.5	12.4	1.06	12.6	13.8	-1.27
Willie Cauley-Stein	70	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.38	-6	9	-15	13.0	13.3	-0.30	12.1	14.4	-2.34
Alec Burks	37	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	-3	9	12.7	13.4	-0.65	14.1	12.4	1.69
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	56	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	10	-17	13.3	13.0	0.35	13.1	12.7	0.36

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	11	11	0.20	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-11	19	15.0	12.7	2.30	16.6	12.7	3.89
Markieff Morris	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.5	11.9	2.53	13.2	13.1	0.04
Nerlens Noel	46	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-2	1	13.7	12.4	1.24	12.7	13.4	-0.68
Deonte Burton	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	12.7	12.9	-0.23	10.0	13.3	-3.35
Abdel Nader	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	12.9	12.9	-0.03	12.6	13.3	-0.68
Terrance Ferguson	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	12.5	13.7	-1.21	13.3	12.8	0.57
Dennis Schroder	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	6	-15	13.5	12.4	1.04	12.8	13.4	-0.54
Russell Westbrook	85	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-2	1	12.5	14.2	-1.65	12.9	13.7	-0.78
Paul George	87	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	13.1	12.3	0.76	13.3	12.6	0.68
Steven Adams	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	12.4	13.7	-1.24	13.4	12.7	0.68
Jerami Grant	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	11.9	14.5	-2.53	13.1	13.2	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.26,0	93.8%
POR 86, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.42,0	92.1%
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	91.5%