inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 119 Excitement9.3 [145] MVPBogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +11.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 Comeback1.5 [436] LVPPaul George (OKC): -20.8%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.03-0.01971%0.152-0.033100%0.02
De'Aaron Fox0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.10.020.08-0.011650%0.152-0.04667%0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.01956%0.1000.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.090.13-0.020.022264%0.213-0.12978%0.02
Harry Giles III0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.02458%0.0700.00475%-0.00
Marvin Bagley III0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06-0.020.07-0.011845%0.081-0.02650%-0.01
Alec Burks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Yogi Ferrell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00350%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021227%-0.0700.00250%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.01765%0.061-0.02333%-0.02
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00848%0.0400.005100%0.05
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.001250%0.051-0.02475%0.00
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00950%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.25,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.26,-0.02-0.020.08-0.090.013060%0.327-0.34875%0.01
Deonte Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.04-0.01743%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.070.02940%-0.1000.002100%0.01
Paul George0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21-0.21-0.14-0.060.011933%-0.153-0.064100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.430.615.330.00.736.7138.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +38.6%
SAC +17.1%
OKC -34.6%
SAC +24.3%
SAC +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACOKCNBASACOKCNBA
this game13.112.914.3108.2104.5109.3
season13.312.9109.2108.9
opponent14.914.3106.4110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.011.412.415.413.1
OKC13.712.611.614.012.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Buddy Hield82840.52-0.020.540.4330313.213.10.0912.614.1-1.51
Marvin Bagley III83840.440.060.390.189-61513.013.4-0.3613.112.40.74
Yogi Ferrell34330.370.130.250.177-41112.213.5-1.3013.812.61.27
Harrison Barnes72740.320.180.130.40-36-913.412.70.7312.513.9-1.41
Harry Giles III40400.300.200.100.049-61513.313.00.3014.412.12.34
De'Aaron Fox77780.290.210.080.38-36-913.512.41.0612.613.8-1.27
Willie Cauley-Stein70710.200.30-0.100.38-69-1513.013.3-0.3012.114.4-2.34
Alec Burks37350.180.32-0.130.016-3912.713.4-0.6514.112.41.69
Bogdan Bogdanovic5556-0.130.63-0.760.08-710-1713.313.00.3513.112.70.36

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton11110.20-0.690.89-0.048-111915.012.72.3016.612.73.89
Markieff Morris4444-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-3314.511.92.5313.213.10.04
Nerlens Noel4647-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-2113.712.41.2412.713.4-0.68
Deonte Burton77-0.09-0.410.310.02-41-512.712.9-0.2310.013.3-3.35
Abdel Nader2122-0.13-0.370.230.01-52-712.912.9-0.0312.613.3-0.68
Terrance Ferguson7171-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.394-71112.513.7-1.2113.312.80.57
Dennis Schroder5149-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-96-1513.512.41.0412.813.4-0.54
Russell Westbrook8582-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.38-1-2112.514.2-1.6512.913.7-0.78
Paul George8788-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-2-1-113.112.30.7613.312.60.68
Steven Adams6563-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.41-2-1-112.413.7-1.2413.412.70.68
Jerami Grant6766-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-30-311.914.5-2.5313.113.2-0.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 90, HOU 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.26,093.8%
POR 86, CLE 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.42,092.1%
MIA 91, MIL 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,091.5%