inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement7.0 [383] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +44.7%
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Comeback1.5 [562] LVPArmen Gilliam (MIL): -24.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.450,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.450.110.33-0.004110%0.4500.002100%0.01
Jamal Mashburn0.090,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.001962%0.133-0.05250%-0.01
Eric Murdock-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011242%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ike Austin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01525%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.06-0.021148%-0.032-0.053100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.01655%-0.043-0.07887%0.03
Tim Hardaway-0.130,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.012142%-0.091-0.04367%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glenn Robinson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.060.011664%0.185-0.13786%0.01
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00650%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.001958%0.124-0.115100%0.03
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01462%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.25-0.250.00-0.220.031653%-0.231-0.02667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.71.824.415.524.42.428.9125.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.5%
MIL -8.2%
MIL -0.2%
MIA +26.1%
MIA +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game17.217.315.6108.3104.8102.5
season15.816.0104.7101.1
opponent15.116.2102.899.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.018.516.220.817.2
MIL16.715.818.918.117.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning54550.71-0.210.920.0921-173815.520.2-4.7517.816.41.39
P.J. Brown71700.68-0.180.870.516-2817.316.60.6717.615.81.74
Tim Hardaway69690.58-0.080.670.358-41217.217.3-0.1117.118.4-1.26
Voshon Lenard64650.330.170.15-0.1115-112616.818.3-1.4718.214.14.09
Jamal Mashburn74710.280.220.060.37-37-1017.614.43.1516.422.6-6.16
Dan Majerle36360.130.37-0.230.40-913-2218.116.51.6817.217.4-0.11
Eric Murdock1514-0.080.58-0.670.03-48-1217.317.20.1118.417.11.26
Ike Austin3735-0.130.63-0.770.28-1418-3218.416.22.1416.318.1-1.83

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elliot Perry1718-0.06-0.440.37-0.122-6817.017.4-0.3916.717.3-0.65
Andrew Lang2222-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-4416.917.5-0.5516.517.4-0.92
Ervin Johnson3637-0.18-0.320.130.05-84-1217.117.5-0.4116.218.0-1.82
Tyrone Hill5555-0.20-0.300.11-0.407-111817.716.61.0718.215.23.06
Terrell Brandon2222-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-1713-3017.117.4-0.3014.218.2-4.06
Ray Allen7272-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.361-5617.218.1-0.9017.614.63.03
Armen Gilliam5859-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-5616.718.8-2.1817.516.41.17
Michael Curry6161-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.493-71017.915.62.2817.715.72.04
Glenn Robinson7274-0.560.06-0.61-0.29-95-1417.615.71.8317.018.8-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 80, ORL 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,091.9%
PHX 90, HOU 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.26,091.7%
NYK 93, CHA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.58,091.6%