NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	7.1 [407]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +11.8%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	1.5 [401]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -19.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	10	59%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	80%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	21	59%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.08
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02	0.11	-0.12	0.01	8	87%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.03	-0.01	18	43%	-0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	20	56%	0.08	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.10	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	14	40%	-0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	28.2	15.8	26.2	2.5	33.2	135.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +9.8%

PHX +28.9%

HOU -9.4%

PHX +19.2%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	100.0	97.8	102.3
season	15.1	16.8		101.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		106.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	15.5	15.9	16.7	15.6
HOU	15.1	17.2	16.1	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	73	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-6	14	15.5	15.8	-0.26	16.7	15.2	1.45
Anfernee Hardaway	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	2	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.51	17.1	15.6	1.46
Dan Majerle	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	1	0	16.0	15.0	0.98	17.0	15.7	1.24
Stephon Marbury	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.8	14.2	1.59	15.9	19.0	-3.07
Jake Tsakalidis	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	5	-8	16.0	14.5	1.53	17.4	14.5	2.97
Milt Palacio	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	14.2	15.8	-1.59	19.0	15.9	3.07
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	-1	4	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.7	16.9	-2.15
Bo Outlaw	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	1	0	15.0	16.0	-0.98	15.7	17.0	-1.24
Alton Ford	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	13.6	15.8	-2.19	14.1	16.8	-2.72
Joe Johnson	56	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	15.8	15.1	0.70	15.5	17.9	-2.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	22	21	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.09	2	-4	6	16.3	16.5	-0.17	16.6	15.2	1.39
Dan Langhi	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-1	0	16.4	16.5	-0.01	15.7	15.4	0.28
Kevin Willis	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	6	-14	17.2	16.3	0.91	12.4	16.1	-3.70
Oscar Torres	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	6	-14	16.7	16.4	0.35	13.1	16.1	-2.99
Moochie Norris	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-6	10	17.4	15.6	1.82	16.1	15.1	1.03
Kenny Thomas	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.48	2	-4	6	16.6	14.2	2.44	15.6	14.0	1.65
Cuttino Mobley	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-2	2	16.3	17.7	-1.46	15.8	14.0	1.77
Steve Francis	85	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	16.1	22.6	-6.52	15.4	17.4	-1.95
Kelvin Cato	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-2	2	16.1	17.2	-1.08	15.8	15.1	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 119, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.41,0	93.8%
POR 86, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.42,0	92.2%
MEM 88, TOR 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.37,0.17,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.02,0	92.0%