NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	6.8 [437]		MVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): +39.7%
Toronto Raptors	82		Comeback	1.4 [667]		LVP	Rudy Gay (TOR): -28.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	10	59%	0.17	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.05	-0.04	17	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.02
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	12	19%	-0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.3,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.20	0.19	0.00	7	112%	0.44	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	10	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	10	48%	-0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	29%	-0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.19	-0.02	15	41%	-0.11	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	31.2	15.8	25.8	1.7	45.4	149.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -3.3%

MEM +5.2%

MEM +24.0%

MEM +21.9%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.4	101.1	95.3	104.1
season	16.5	16.1		102.9	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	18.9	17.6	16.3	17.1
TOR	15.3	16.3	18.4	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	57	57	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	16.4	18.5	-2.05	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Marc Gasol	59	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-6	18	17.9	15.5	2.35	17.3	13.9	3.37
Mike Conley	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	17.1	17.4	-0.34	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Zach Randolph	61	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	2	2	17.3	16.8	0.51	16.3	15.9	0.35
Tony Allen	65	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.25	3	3	0	16.9	17.8	-0.87	16.5	15.4	1.09
Jerryd Bayless	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-2	10	18.4	16.5	1.87	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Ed Davis	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	4	-2	16.9	17.2	-0.35	16.5	16.0	0.48
Quincy Pondexter	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	9	-12	16.5	17.5	-1.00	14.7	17.0	-2.22
Tony Wroten	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	17.0	17.1	-0.14	16.8	16.1	0.72
Darrell Arthur	25	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	17.0	17.2	-0.23	14.7	16.8	-2.03

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	24	26	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.07	10	-16	26	17.0	15.9	1.10	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Aaron Gray	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-11	16	15.5	16.4	-0.86	18.0	16.8	1.13
John Lucas III	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	16.6	16.0	0.54	17.4	17.0	0.40
Landry Fields	11	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-1	-4	15.2	16.3	-1.12	15.6	17.3	-1.75
Alan Anderson	35	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-7	8	15.3	16.8	-1.53	16.6	17.5	-0.93
Andrea Bargnani	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	3	-12	16.4	16.0	0.40	17.4	16.9	0.48
Jonas Valanciunas	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	3	-12	17.5	15.4	2.18	17.8	16.7	1.11
Amir Johnson	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	16.1	16.2	-0.13	17.2	17.1	0.07
Kyle Lowry	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	16.0	16.6	-0.54	17.0	17.4	-0.40
DeMar DeRozan	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	15.7	17.7	-1.95	16.9	17.9	-1.03
Rudy Gay	69	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	1	-8	16.4	15.1	1.30	17.1	17.1	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.37,0.17,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.05,0.05,0	92.8%
LAL 107, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	92.5%
PHI 84, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	92.2%