NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	7.3 [434]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +24.5%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	3.7 [614]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (GSW): -12.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	6	108%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.01	12	50%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	4	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	125%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	81%	0.10	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	56%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	29	41%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	17	46%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	9	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	14	73%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.08	0.00	6	108%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.08	-0.03	19	59%	0.22	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	19	62%	0.18	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	17	31%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	24.5	16.4	29.4	2.6	30.4	134.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.2%

UTA -6.7%

UTA -4.6%

GSW +23.6%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.3	105.9	112.7	109.3
season	14.3	13.4		109.3	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.3		108.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	15.7	15.6	13.1	14.8
GSW	12.2	15.6	12.7	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	22	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-10	13	13.9	15.0	-1.17	13.1	13.5	-0.39
Kyle Korver	39	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-7	7	15.5	14.3	1.14	12.7	13.9	-1.23
Joe Ingles	62	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-10	13	13.9	16.1	-2.25	13.5	13.4	0.04
Royce O'Neale	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	15.6	13.7	1.88	13.6	13.2	0.39
Derrick Favors	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	2	-11	15.0	14.5	0.47	12.9	14.1	-1.25
Jae Crowder	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	0	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.02	13.8	13.0	0.81
Rudy Gobert	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-5	3	14.9	14.4	0.59	13.8	12.6	1.21
Ricky Rubio	66	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	0	-7	14.5	15.2	-0.72	13.7	13.0	0.69
Donovan Mitchell	75	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	6	-19	15.0	14.1	0.97	13.4	13.6	-0.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-1	9	13.8	12.9	0.97	14.8	14.8	0.05
Klay Thompson	68	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-1	9	13.5	13.4	0.15	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Kevin Durant	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-4	15	12.9	15.4	-2.50	14.6	15.5	-0.97
Shaun Livingston	29	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	15.2	12.7	2.50	15.8	14.4	1.44
Stephen Curry	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	13.5	13.2	0.35	14.9	14.6	0.26
Draymond Green	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	6	-5	13.4	13.6	-0.16	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Jonas Jerebko	17	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	1	5	10.6	14.0	-3.36	15.1	14.7	0.40
Andre Iguodala	61	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	13.3	13.7	-0.43	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Quinn Cook	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	15.3	13.2	2.04	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Kevon Looney	24	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	9	-11	13.8	13.3	0.45	16.1	14.4	1.74
Alfonzo McKinnie	12	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	12	-17	12.7	13.6	-0.89	15.3	14.7	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.99,1	92.9%
MIA 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.8%
LAL 84, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%