NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	6.9 [465]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (IND): +17.4%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	4.9 [335]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -20.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	62%	0.20	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	25	39%	-0.08	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jordan Farmar	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	8	78%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Troy Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	5	-0.15	6	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	21	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	29.9	15.8	27.2	2.5	32.7	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +55.4%

LAL -11.6%

IND +5.5%

LAL -1.0%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	15.4	83.2	95.0	104.5
season	15.3	15.3		106.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	14.9		103.9	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	12.8	12.2	15.0	14.1
IND	15.1	14.4	16.1	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-11	11	14.1	14.1	-0.09	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Vladimir Radmanovic	65	62	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-9	7	12.6	16.9	-4.38	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Shammond Williams	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	19.0	13.9	5.07	9.5	14.7	-5.24
Smush Parker	73	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	12.9	17.2	-4.32	14.5	14.5	0.07
Kobe Bryant	83	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-10	9	13.7	16.2	-2.48	15.1	12.1	2.95
Sasha Vujacic	19	18	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.0	13.7	2.30	12.1	15.1	-2.95
Brian Cook	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.07	15.0	14.1	0.94
Maurice Evans	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-15	19	13.3	14.9	-1.60	14.0	15.0	-0.92
Jordan Farmar	23	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	17.6	13.1	4.45	15.3	14.3	1.00
Andrew Bynum	42	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	15.5	13.1	2.43	15.8	13.6	2.17
Lamar Odom	83	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.02	-21	10	-31	15.0	9.9	5.09	14.9	12.6	2.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	91	90	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-6	23	14.2	18.0	-3.81	14.4	12.3	2.08
Mike Dunleavy	82	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-6	23	14.7	13.6	1.12	14.4	12.6	1.78
Jamaal Tinsley	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-2	15	14.7	14.1	0.61	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Ike Diogu	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.91	15.0	13.8	1.12
Jermaine O'Neal	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	5	1	15.5	12.2	3.27	14.3	13.8	0.47
Troy Murphy	14	13	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	3	5	13.7	14.7	-0.95	16.8	13.7	3.12
Jeff Foster	71	73	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	14	-17	14.6	14.4	0.12	13.0	17.1	-4.12
Darrell Armstrong	35	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	16	-21	13.4	15.1	-1.74	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Rawle Marshall	43	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	15.0	14.2	0.78	14.0	14.2	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,1	94.1%
SAC 104, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%
PHI 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%