NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	6.5 [488]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +15.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	3.3 [680]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -26.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.11,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	17	55%	0.09	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	15	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	22	26%	-0.15	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	10	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	5	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	20	70%	0.24	5	-0.13	6	67%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	4	33%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	15	55%	0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.7	28.4	15.7	28.0	2.6	34.5	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +41.6%

CLE +8.7%

PHI -6.2%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.3	102.2	105.4	106.0
season	15.1	16.1		104.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.8		103.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.7	12.9	12.6	18.0	15.2
CLE	16.6	17.6	16.0	16.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	13.1	15.4	-2.33	19.8	16.2	3.56
Lou Williams	76	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-9	12	14.7	17.7	-2.96	16.7	16.2	0.56
Jason Smith	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-4	2	14.7	15.4	-0.76	15.6	17.1	-1.52
Samuel Dalembert	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	5	-16	16.1	14.5	1.57	16.7	16.6	0.14
Rodney Carney	50	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-11	16	14.5	16.1	-1.57	16.6	16.7	-0.14
Royal Ivey	8	7	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	2	-10	21.2	14.6	6.68	13.9	16.9	-3.00
Elton Brand	63	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.0	0.29	16.9	15.9	0.98
Andre Iguodala	84	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.3	12.2	3.15	16.6	18.0	-1.45
Thaddeus Young	85	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.2	15.2	-0.09	16.6	16.3	0.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	76	73	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.34	22	-16	38	17.1	14.6	2.43	16.1	10.9	5.16
LeBron James	74	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-5	16	16.8	15.8	0.99	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	67	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-1	8	16.7	16.5	0.21	15.0	15.7	-0.80
Anderson Varejao	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.49	-2	8	-10	16.6	16.6	0.02	16.0	14.1	1.94
Jamario Moon	38	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	9	-12	15.8	17.2	-1.48	15.3	15.1	0.21
Anthony Parker	55	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-2	10	16.4	17.0	-0.66	14.9	15.5	-0.54
JJ Hickson	60	57	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.17	7	-1	8	17.0	15.9	1.16	14.9	15.7	-0.76
Delonte West	9	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	17	-28	17.1	16.6	0.53	12.8	15.4	-2.66
Daniel Gibson	31	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	15.6	17.1	-1.53	14.3	15.7	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%
CHI 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.7%
NOK 83, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	92.2%