NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	7.2 [406]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (MIA): +13.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	2.5 [728]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -24.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	7	64%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	12	59%	-0.08	2	-0.08	17	35%	-0.17
Udonis Haslem	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	14	41%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	13	46%	-0.03	6	-0.21	11	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	11	57%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	30	57%	0.13	1	-0.04	19	95%	0.08
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	10	43%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	34.5	15.6	25.3	2.6	34.2	143.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.8%

PHI +15.9%

MIA -3.0%

PHI +31.2%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.0	15.5	98.0	101.9	104.0
season	15.7	13.9		107.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.4	14.0	16.0	15.8	15.3
PHI	13.4	12.7	13.5	12.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	28	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-12	16	14.3	15.6	-1.35	14.4	12.5	1.89
Rasual Butler	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-10	12	14.4	15.7	-1.36	13.6	12.7	0.91
Michael Doleac	40	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	14.9	15.5	-0.64	13.3	12.8	0.48
Keyon Dooling	44	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-5	2	14.7	15.7	-1.07	13.1	13.0	0.08
Udonis Haslem	55	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	1	-10	16.2	14.1	2.13	12.5	13.7	-1.25
Damon Jones	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	15.7	14.7	1.07	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Eddie Jones	79	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	15.2	15.3	-0.09	12.6	14.8	-2.18
Dwyane Wade	90	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.38	13.0	13.6	-0.64
Shaquille O'Neal	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	3	-14	15.6	14.3	1.30	13.0	13.0	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	67	66	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-3	14	12.9	13.3	-0.47	15.8	14.1	1.73
Andre Iguodala	66	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-2	12	13.1	12.8	0.28	15.9	14.2	1.74
Kyle Korver	75	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-4	16	12.3	14.9	-2.65	15.5	14.8	0.70
Allen Iverson	97	94	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-3	14	12.7	17.3	-4.57	15.3	15.3	-0.08
Kenny Thomas	56	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	12.4	13.7	-1.28	15.6	14.9	0.72
Corliss Williamson	48	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	13.7	12.4	1.28	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Willie Green	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.2	12.6	3.65	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Kedrick Brown	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.01	-3	11	-14	12.8	13.1	-0.23	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Aaron McKie	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	12	-16	14.2	12.4	1.88	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Marc Jackson	37	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	11	-14	13.3	12.9	0.47	14.1	15.8	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.67,0.53,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.1%
UTA 108, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	92.8%