NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	5.3 [800]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +16.9%
Detroit Pistons	121		Comeback	1.6 [900]		LVP	Jeff Green (WAS): -18.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.07	14	79%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.08	17	69%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.15	-0.03	0.07	19	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.05
Thomas Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	6	29%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.03	0.06	19	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	7	88%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	23	62%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	4	112%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	89%	0.15	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	24.5	15.3	25.6	2.4	38.3	134.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.2%

DET +4.9%

DET +9.6%

DET +3.6%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.3	113.1	118.6	109.3
season	13.8	15.3		109.8	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	12.9	16.4	10.9	13.4
DET	14.1	15.9	14.9	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	40	42	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-16	23	13.2	13.5	-0.31	15.6	15.0	0.55
Wesley Johnson	52	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-15	21	12.6	14.3	-1.70	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Bobby Portis	64	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-13	17	13.4	13.3	0.06	15.4	15.0	0.37
Jordan McRae	39	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-5	1	14.4	12.7	1.69	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Chasson Randle	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	0	-9	13.5	13.3	0.24	15.3	15.2	0.17
Trevor Ariza	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-9	9	13.4	13.5	-0.14	15.8	12.8	3.04
Thomas Bryant	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	4	-17	13.3	13.4	-0.06	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Jeff Green	59	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	7	-23	13.5	13.2	0.31	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Bradley Beal	85	89	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.16	-20	11	-31	13.4	13.5	-0.14	14.8	18.2	-3.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	76	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-5	19	14.4	17.6	-3.13	13.7	12.4	1.26
Langston Galloway	46	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-9	27	14.1	16.2	-2.11	13.6	13.2	0.36
Bruce Brown	59	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	14.4	16.5	-2.11	13.3	13.4	-0.09
Thon Maker	29	27	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-6	21	13.8	15.8	-2.08	15.2	12.7	2.53
Reggie Jackson	61	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	15.1	15.5	-0.37	13.6	13.0	0.60
Blake Griffin	86	82	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.0	11.2	4.81	12.6	17.0	-4.37
Ish Smith	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	15.5	15.1	0.37	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Wayne Ellington	41	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	16.2	14.6	1.59	13.2	13.5	-0.38
Luke Kennard	58	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	18	-27	16.4	13.7	2.67	13.2	13.6	-0.45
Zaza Pachulia	13	14	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	20	-31	18.2	14.8	3.42	13.5	13.4	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 106, OKC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NOH 97, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%