NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	4.7 [860]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.4 [1171]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (MIL): -16.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	-0.00	0.02	25	69%	0.22	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	49%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	12	25%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	18	68%	0.20	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.08	0.04	10	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	28.2	17.7	22.3	2.4	27.5	123.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.8%

TOR +4.6%

MIL -8.8%

TOR +15.7%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	17.3	14.5	15.4	103.3	122.0	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.4	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	19.1	18.6	14.7	17.3
TOR	12.2	16.1	13.5	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	25	25	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.14	10	-28	38	17.8	17.1	0.76	18.2	13.2	4.98
Royal Ivey	40	41	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	18.0	16.7	1.23	16.4	13.0	3.39
Bobby Simmons	51	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-14	10	16.8	17.9	-1.07	15.9	12.7	3.16
Ramon Sessions	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	16.4	20.5	-4.10	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Charlie Villanueva	88	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	0	-18	17.1	27.5	-10.44	14.6	10.0	4.60
Desmond Mason	40	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	-2	-14	18.4	16.4	2.00	12.6	16.0	-3.34
Michael Redd	69	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.16	-27	9	-36	17.8	15.7	2.12	14.0	16.3	-2.32
Andrew Bogut	66	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.13	-26	8	-34	17.1	17.9	-0.80	13.2	18.2	-4.98

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	62	61	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.09	26	-8	34	13.1	17.7	-4.66	17.2	17.4	-0.13
Jamario Moon	47	46	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	0	18	13.1	16.1	-3.03	18.1	16.5	1.59
Rasho Nesterovic	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-4	26	13.4	16.5	-3.08	17.2	17.4	-0.20
Chris Bosh	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-2	22	14.4	15.4	-1.00	18.0	13.6	4.43
T.J. Ford	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	2	14	13.5	15.4	-1.86	19.0	15.8	3.21
Primoz Brezec	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	16.0	14.5	1.50	10.0	17.5	-7.45
Kris Humphries	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	16.0	14.5	1.50	10.0	17.5	-7.45
Joey Graham	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	16.0	14.5	1.50	10.0	17.5	-7.45
Jose Calderon	49	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.08	2	16	-14	15.4	13.5	1.86	15.8	19.0	-3.21
Carlos Delfino	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	24	-30	16.6	13.4	3.18	17.7	17.0	0.67
Andrea Bargnani	43	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	28	-38	16.2	13.1	3.06	16.8	17.7	-0.99
Jason Kapono	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	22	-26	17.0	12.9	4.08	16.4	17.9	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.4%
PHI 114, GSW 135	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%