inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement5.9 [650] MVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): +15.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 121 Comeback1.8 [904] LVPJusuf Nurkic (DEN): -16.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.040.021175%0.172-0.036100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.02-0.021860%0.192-0.06450%-0.02
Juan Hernangomez0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.020.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001057%0.092-0.07333%-0.04
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.00956%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001837%-0.0500.005100%0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.18-0.03-0.0790%-0.122-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.050.011434%-0.112-0.06425%-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.060.012070%0.265-0.10683%0.01
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.04-0.031258%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.011070%0.122-0.03367%0.01
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.004100%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.02759%0.0400.00862%-0.01
Alex Abrines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01458%0.0300.004100%0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01747%-0.0100.005100%0.02
Victor Oladipo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.021937%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00343%-0.021-0.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.425.014.729.31.832.2129.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +28.1%
OKC +10.7%
DEN -5.4%
OKC +9.6%
OKC +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game13.613.614.8100.0114.2107.7
season14.414.0111.6107.0
opponent15.114.5106.7111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.114.015.011.513.6
OKC12.613.715.013.313.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Hernangomez30300.21-0.710.92-0.1412-273911.814.3-2.5015.612.82.72
Jameer Nelson46460.04-0.540.59-0.229-243312.714.2-1.5615.512.13.41
Jamal Murray3131-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-11712.813.9-1.0113.813.50.27
Wilson Chandler7371-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-151513.014.8-1.7413.713.30.40
Darrell Arthur4950-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-9313.513.6-0.0515.412.03.46
Kenneth Faried4140-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-12913.713.50.1714.413.21.22
Jusuf Nurkic5658-0.26-0.24-0.020.07-11-4-714.412.71.7012.914.5-1.62
Emmanuel Mudiay6060-0.540.04-0.590.16-249-3314.212.71.5612.115.5-3.41
Will Barton6564-0.570.07-0.630.11-238-3114.212.51.7012.215.7-3.52
Danilo Gallinari7980-0.690.19-0.890.04-2510-3513.912.61.2412.816.1-3.26

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Adams67670.64-0.140.79-0.0323-83113.114.5-1.3814.312.31.98
Russell Westbrook77790.64-0.140.77-0.0724-93312.516.7-4.2414.211.82.39
Andre Roberson86860.53-0.030.550.0317-21913.215.4-2.2613.812.51.30
Victor Oladipo71720.410.090.32-0.0917-21913.414.1-0.7114.012.71.30
Domantas Sabonis42420.160.34-0.180.02510-513.113.9-0.7814.513.01.48
Enes Kanter47480.110.39-0.270.11015-1515.012.52.4212.814.2-1.40
Alex Abrines44430.110.39-0.270.14-116-1714.213.21.0112.814.1-1.33
Jerami Grant56550.080.42-0.340.02213-1113.413.8-0.3512.714.5-1.87
Joffrey Lauvergne1111-0.050.55-0.600.04-318-2116.113.32.7612.013.7-1.74
Cameron Payne2927-0.140.64-0.770.13-924-3316.712.54.2411.814.2-2.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 92, CHA 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%
WAS 112, DET 1210.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.4%
LAC 72, BOS 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.3%