NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	5.2 [823]		MVP	Eddie House (CHA): +18.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	1.3 [1011]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (ATL): -12.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	19	61%	0.15	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	19	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	57%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	6	50%	0.02	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	9	85%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	7	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.0	14.8	25.4	2.4	32.4	127.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +6.6%

CHA +14.9%

ATL -1.6%

CHA +22.2%

CHA +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.5	94.8	111.5	104.0
season	15.6	15.5		98.1	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	17.5	15.0	13.0	14.7
CHA	15.2	15.9	13.8	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-23	31	11.9	15.4	-3.49	16.3	14.9	1.39
Donta Smith	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	9.0	14.9	-5.88	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Jelani McCoy	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-14	13	13.7	15.0	-1.37	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Kenny Anderson	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	14.4	15.4	-1.07	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Jason Collier	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-11	7	15.0	14.3	0.71	15.8	14.4	1.36
Josh Childress	51	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-12	9	15.1	14.3	0.75	16.2	14.1	2.04
Jon Barry	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.0	15.3	-1.28	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Tony Delk	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	1	-17	15.2	13.7	1.48	15.1	15.2	-0.16
Al Harrington	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	3	-21	14.9	13.7	1.15	14.5	18.9	-4.43
Antoine Walker	78	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.11	-25	10	-35	15.6	11.2	4.34	15.3	14.6	0.63

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	60	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.02	21	-6	27	15.3	14.9	0.46	14.4	15.3	-0.87
Primoz Brezec	58	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-6	27	14.2	16.6	-2.42	14.3	15.3	-0.92
Emeka Okafor	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-2	19	14.9	16.1	-1.29	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Brevin Knight	64	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	15.5	14.3	1.20	14.8	14.5	0.30
Keith Bogans	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	5	5	14.3	16.1	-1.73	14.5	14.9	-0.32
Jason Hart	62	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	8	-1	14.5	16.4	-1.87	15.2	13.7	1.48
Eddie House	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	11	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.08	14.8	14.7	0.15
Steven Smith	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	16	-17	17.0	14.5	2.42	14.3	14.8	-0.58
Jason Kapono	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	19	-23	17.3	14.9	2.40	15.0	14.7	0.33
Jahidi White	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	18	-21	20.7	15.0	5.70	15.3	14.7	0.65
Melvin Ely	41	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	23	-31	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.2	14.3	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, OKC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.5%
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.4%