NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	2.9 [1205]		MVP	Marvin Bagley III (SAC): +13.9%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): -5.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	10	80%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	19	60%	0.08	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.00	0.08	15	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.05	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	0.00	10	40%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	10	54%	0.04	4	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	27.6	15.4	35.8	2.4	29.8	139.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.1%

SAC +6.6%

PHX -2.2%

SAC +12.4%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	12.0	14.3	98.1	108.3	109.3
season	14.4	13.3		104.8	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		110.5	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	17.3	12.7	14.7	15.0
SAC	12.0	14.0	10.9	11.5	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-12	11	18.9	14.6	4.24	15.5	11.7	3.79
Dragan Bender	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	15.5	14.7	0.86	12.0	12.0	0.06
Elie Okobo	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-12	11	14.6	15.2	-0.55	11.4	12.4	-0.98
Deandre Ayton	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	14.6	15.7	-1.14	12.3	11.3	1.07
Richaun Holmes	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	15.7	14.6	1.14	11.3	12.3	-1.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-8	3	13.9	15.7	-1.86	12.3	11.7	0.58
Mikal Bridges	77	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	14.6	15.8	-1.20	12.1	11.7	0.33
Tyler Johnson	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	0	-13	15.3	14.3	0.95	12.3	11.5	0.79
Josh Jackson	72	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-1	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.42	11.6	12.9	-1.37
Devin Booker	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	2	-17	15.2	14.1	1.13	11.8	12.5	-0.66

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	71	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	6	1	12.0	11.9	0.07	14.9	15.0	-0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	8	-3	11.7	12.3	-0.54	15.4	14.4	0.97
De'Aaron Fox	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	5	3	12.5	11.1	1.40	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Harrison Barnes	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	4	5	11.7	12.6	-0.87	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Willie Cauley-Stein	60	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	1	11	11.8	12.3	-0.50	15.0	14.9	0.11
Alec Burks	45	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	8	-3	12.3	11.7	0.59	16.4	14.0	2.43
Nemanja Bjelica	49	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	0	13	12.3	11.7	0.58	15.6	14.4	1.27
Buddy Hield	60	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	7	-1	12.2	11.7	0.55	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Yogi Ferrell	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	10	-7	11.1	12.4	-1.27	15.6	14.6	0.98
Harry Giles III	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	16	-19	11.9	12.0	-0.10	14.1	15.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 73, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 86, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 87, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%