NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	73		Excitement	3.0 [1144]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +6.0%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	1.0 [1123]		LVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): -8.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	2	17%	0.00	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	20	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
David Wingate	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	7	33%	-0.01	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Larry Stewart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	10	36%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	55%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	19	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0.07	7	57%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	34.3	19.4	26.6	2.6	26.2	138.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.1%

SEA -2.1%

HOU +16.9%

SEA -3.1%

HOU +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.6	76.8	116.5	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.2		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.4	16.6	15.3	14.6	14.6
HOU	16.4	16.9	16.0	12.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-30	20	14.7	14.6	0.07	11.5	16.3	-4.79
Craig Ehlo	28	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.52	-18	-22	4	13.9	14.9	-1.02	13.2	16.4	-3.16
David Wingate	43	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.41	-19	-21	2	14.5	14.7	-0.27	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Shawn Kemp	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-27	14	13.7	15.8	-2.11	16.0	14.6	1.45
Jim McIlvaine	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.20	-12	-28	16	14.1	15.0	-0.91	13.8	16.8	-2.96
Terry Cummings	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	-21	2	16.7	13.9	2.86	18.2	14.4	3.81
Nate McMillan	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-28	16	13.4	15.5	-2.12	17.0	14.3	2.71
Larry Stewart	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.45	-24	-16	-8	15.9	13.2	2.70	13.1	17.7	-4.61
Sam Perkins	42	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.28	-22	-18	-4	15.3	14.1	1.17	17.4	13.7	3.68
Hersey Hawkins	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-21	2	14.7	14.5	0.13	16.3	13.8	2.55
Gary Payton	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.42	-32	-8	-24	14.6	14.7	-0.11	16.3	12.5	3.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.20	22	18	4	16.2	14.2	1.97	15.5	13.4	2.09
Clyde Drexler	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	17	6	16.7	13.3	3.37	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Charles Barkley	64	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.19	21	19	2	16.4	13.3	3.10	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Mario Elie	68	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.32	22	18	4	15.2	15.7	-0.44	14.9	14.1	0.79
Hakeem Olajuwon	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.32	21	19	2	15.0	15.8	-0.78	15.4	13.5	1.86
Kevin Willis	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.53	26	14	12	17.0	14.3	2.66	15.0	14.4	0.65
Eddie Johnson	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.57	26	14	12	14.6	16.2	-1.55	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Sedale Threatt	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.48	20	20	0	14.4	16.2	-1.86	14.1	15.1	-1.01
Othella Harrington	21	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.20	9	31	-22	14.0	15.8	-1.76	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Matt Bullard	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	36	-32	11.5	16.1	-4.63	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Randy Livingston	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	34	-28	11.9	16.1	-4.12	13.9	14.8	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 86, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIL 86, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%