inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement2.7 [1234] MVPEnes Kanter (NYK): +15.9%
New York Knicks 115 Comeback1.1 [840] LVPDion Waiters (MIA): -7.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01575%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Tyler Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011154%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06721%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041172%0.044-0.043100%0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Mickey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011443%0.002-0.03250%-0.00
Justise Winslow-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.00542%-0.002-0.03250%0.01
Goran Dragic-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.041225%-0.0400.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.000.000.04753%-0.002-0.04333%-0.01
Dion Waiters-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.050.000.031038%-0.061-0.02650%-0.03

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.160.020.02981%0.161-0.00989%0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.03974%0.081-0.015100%0.01
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.014100%0.063-0.021100%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.051150%0.052-0.02250%-0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.06780%0.0310.0010%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.002100%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03280%0.011-0.00683%0.01
Damyean Dotson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02580%0.0020.0000%0.00
Ron Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03940%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05743%0.024-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.431.413.725.32.428.3126.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +29.2%
NYK +12.0%
NYK +3.4%
NYK +2.2%
NYK +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.613.714.786.9117.3107.5
season15.114.9105.4105.9
opponent14.514.6109.3105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.416.816.014.315.6
NYK13.413.815.312.513.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Walton Jr.10100.00-0.500.500.000-292912.116.0-3.8611.613.9-2.30
Kelly Olynyk5454-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-282714.716.6-1.9413.613.8-0.24
Jordan Mickey1413-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-211312.316.1-3.8210.514.1-3.60
Wayne Ellington5857-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-211314.716.8-2.1213.513.8-0.29
Bam Adebayo5858-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-11-717.113.43.6714.212.81.42
James Johnson3737-0.26-0.24-0.010.10-12-17515.515.6-0.1713.913.50.41
Tyler Johnson6261-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-17-12-515.316.0-0.6913.513.9-0.32
Justise Winslow3534-0.31-0.19-0.120.25-19-10-915.815.40.4113.813.60.16
Dion Waiters6159-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-16-13-315.815.20.6214.013.10.89
Goran Dragic4546-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-9-1116.614.71.8114.113.30.76
Josh Richardson6161-0.41-0.09-0.310.36-26-3-2316.314.41.8113.613.8-0.19

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.60600.410.090.33-0.232271513.813.40.3516.214.61.53
Courtney Lee55580.400.100.30-0.192091114.013.20.8515.815.20.59
Enes Kanter49500.370.130.25-0.332451913.913.40.5116.814.32.41
Jarrett Jack47470.360.140.22-0.342451913.613.7-0.0516.814.42.41
Michael Beasley39400.320.180.15-0.141613313.313.9-0.5914.416.3-1.91
Doug McDermott61610.190.31-0.13-0.201316-313.513.9-0.3215.216.1-0.83
Lance Thomas39400.140.36-0.22-0.12920-1114.413.21.2417.814.03.83
Ramon Sessions51520.140.36-0.22-0.01524-1913.713.60.0514.416.8-2.41
Kyle O'Quinn29300.130.37-0.250.07227-2514.013.50.4314.616.0-1.39
Kristaps Porzingis650.040.46-0.43-0.02227-2514.313.60.7116.215.50.67
Willy Hernangomez20190.000.50-0.50-0.09326-2312.613.9-1.3413.915.9-2.00
Ron Baker20190.000.50-0.50-0.09326-2312.613.9-1.3413.915.9-2.00
Damyean Dotson14140.000.50-0.50-0.06227-2512.313.9-1.6112.116.1-4.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 86, BOS 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
SEA 73, HOU 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
GSW 85, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%