NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	117		Excitement	7.9 [327]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): +18.5%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	4.2 [744]		LVP	Tyler Johnson (PHX): -24.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.13	-0.01	11	64%	0.29	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Stephen Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	17	50%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	17	66%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quinn Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	4	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	11	66%	0.09	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	19	53%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.06
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	19	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	20	52%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	9%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	9	25%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	26.6	15.3	29.0	0.2	31.5	131.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +72.9%

GSW +3.8%

PHX -5.0%

PHX -18.3%

PHX -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	15.6	14.3	114.7	105.9	109.3
season	13.4	14.4		114.5	104.8
opponent	14.0	15.0		114.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	11.7	12.5	13.1	12.8
PHX	13.7	16.7	15.8	16.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	36	34	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.18	22	-12	34	12.3	13.1	-0.84	17.4	14.6	2.83
Shaun Livingston	33	32	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-4	18	12.4	13.0	-0.68	17.2	14.8	2.47
Stephen Curry	74	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-3	16	12.6	13.5	-0.93	16.3	13.6	2.66
Kevon Looney	35	36	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-9	28	12.3	13.1	-0.86	16.1	15.3	0.76
Klay Thompson	77	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	8	-6	13.2	11.6	1.57	14.9	17.7	-2.76
Andre Iguodala	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	-3	16	11.1	14.3	-3.15	15.5	15.6	-0.18
DeMarcus Cousins	57	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.44	-14	24	-38	13.9	11.4	2.55	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Quinn Cook	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	7	-4	13.3	12.7	0.54	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Alfonzo McKinnie	2	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	15	-20	28.0	12.5	15.48	7.7	15.9	-8.14
Kevin Durant	74	72	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	11	-12	12.7	13.0	-0.29	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Draymond Green	56	54	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.08	-16	26	-42	13.3	12.2	1.06	14.9	16.3	-1.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	38	39	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.12	17	-27	44	14.4	16.3	-1.92	14.4	11.8	2.61
Elie Okobo	40	41	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.23	16	-26	42	14.8	16.1	-1.27	15.3	11.1	4.17
Josh Jackson	67	68	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-19	28	15.5	15.6	-0.12	13.7	11.0	2.78
Deandre Ayton	70	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-13	16	14.8	17.2	-2.40	13.3	11.8	1.46
Richaun Holmes	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	3	-16	17.2	14.8	2.40	11.8	13.3	-1.46
Mikal Bridges	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-8	6	15.3	16.6	-1.37	13.2	11.4	1.86
Tyler Johnson	61	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	0.02	-26	16	-42	16.1	14.8	1.27	11.1	15.3	-4.17
Jamal Crawford	46	45	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.07	-25	15	-40	16.6	14.7	1.84	11.0	14.2	-3.18
Kelly Oubre Jr.	73	74	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.01	-29	19	-48	15.9	14.6	1.27	11.8	15.6	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.66,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.47,0.3,0.18,0.15,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.01,0	91.5%
PHX 95, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	91.1%
ORL 107, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	90.8%