NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	6.0 [670]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): +23.4%
Miami Heat	88		Comeback	1.8 [500]		LVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	0.01	-0.01	19	77%	0.24	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.11	4	-0.11	5	20%	-0.07
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.03	11	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.6	14.5	29.3	1.6	31.4	132.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.8%

MIA -10.1%

IND +7.9%

IND +31.4%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	14.3	99.0	93.6	109.3
season	14.5	14.8		108.4	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		106.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	12.1	15.2	19.5	15.2
MIA	13.8	16.7	16.1	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	75	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.12	22	-15	37	15.5	14.1	1.36	15.3	14.8	0.46
Thaddeus Young	69	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-9	25	16.2	12.4	3.82	15.3	14.8	0.49
Darren Collison	68	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-9	25	15.5	14.3	1.23	14.7	16.3	-1.54
Cory Joseph	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-7	21	15.9	13.8	2.13	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Myles Turner	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	4	-1	16.4	13.1	3.27	14.5	16.3	-1.89
TJ Leaf	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	10.6	15.9	-5.28	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Domantas Sabonis	49	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	10	-13	13.4	17.0	-3.53	16.2	14.0	2.23
Tyreke Evans	34	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	14	-21	14.1	15.7	-1.65	16.3	14.5	1.80
Aaron Holiday	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.15	-9	16	-25	14.3	15.5	-1.23	16.3	14.7	1.54
Edmond Sumner	22	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.21	-15	22	-37	13.6	15.6	-1.97	15.2	15.2	0.04

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	54	56	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.22	13	-20	33	15.0	15.4	-0.46	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Bam Adebayo	35	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.20	11	-18	29	13.9	15.9	-2.03	12.9	16.5	-3.63
Dion Waiters	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	15.4	14.8	0.58	15.2	15.1	0.10
James Johnson	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	2	-11	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.5	15.0	0.48
Kelly Olynyk	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	16.0	13.1	2.97	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Justise Winslow	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-10	13	14.6	16.1	-1.45	16.8	12.3	4.43
Tyler Johnson	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	8	-23	15.8	14.5	1.35	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Hassan Whiteside	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	11	-29	15.8	14.1	1.65	16.6	13.0	3.53
Josh Richardson	73	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.13	-19	12	-31	14.8	16.4	-1.63	14.5	17.7	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, CLE 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.3%
GSW 98, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
PHX 95, NOH 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%