NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	4.8 [891]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): +16.2%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.8 [1204]		LVP	Enes Kanter (NYK): -10.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	8	78%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	14	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	20	53%	0.10	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	12	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.02	-0.03	16	69%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	21	49%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	23.4	14.6	25.5	3.4	29.4	122.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.3%

NYK -8.6%

BOS +8.4%

BOS +22.4%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.1	15.5	14.3	111.9	98.0	109.3
season	13.9	14.5		109.9	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.6	13.6	14.7	12.4	13.1
NYK	16.1	17.7	13.0	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-1	16	13.0	13.2	-0.24	15.8	14.8	0.98
Kyrie Irving	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	7	0	13.3	12.5	0.81	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Al Horford	55	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	2	10	13.7	12.3	1.39	16.4	14.4	1.93
Jayson Tatum	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	2	10	13.5	12.6	0.87	16.0	14.9	1.04
Marcus Smart	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	7	0	13.6	12.3	1.24	16.4	14.2	2.17
Gordon Hayward	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	6	2	12.6	13.4	-0.79	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Aron Baynes	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	13	-12	12.4	13.6	-1.19	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Terry Rozier	53	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	9	-4	12.5	13.7	-1.20	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Jaylen Brown	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	13	-12	12.4	13.6	-1.27	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Semi Ojeleye	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	12	-10	14.6	12.9	1.64	14.4	15.5	-1.17
Guerschon Yabusele	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	13.3	13.1	0.28	11.7	15.6	-3.90

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-11	8	15.7	15.3	0.42	14.0	12.6	1.44
Mitchell Robinson	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-15	16	14.3	16.2	-1.95	12.8	13.2	-0.43
Enes Kanter	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-2	-10	16.8	14.9	1.84	12.3	13.4	-1.07
Mario Hezonja	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.0	15.8	-0.79	12.5	13.5	-1.03
Kadeem Allen	75	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-6	-2	15.6	15.1	0.46	13.5	12.1	1.39
Kevin Knox	85	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-11	8	15.2	16.9	-1.69	13.7	10.1	3.59
Allonzo Trier	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-2	-10	15.1	15.9	-0.86	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Noah Vonleh	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-7	0	15.9	14.7	1.28	13.1	13.1	0.01
Damyean Dotson	79	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	2	-18	15.8	14.3	1.45	12.6	15.1	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ORL 105, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
ORL 117, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%