inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 105 Excitement4.9 [863] MVPPat Garrity (ORL): +11.4%
New York Knicks 90 Comeback1.5 [420] LVPSteve Francis (ORL): -11.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.190.020.108106%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.031362%0.111-0.021164%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.02-0.04673%0.123-0.03367%-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.140.010.081078%0.091-0.02367%0.01
Mario Kasun0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Terence Morris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.001148%0.042-0.041100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01643%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Grant Hill-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01550%0.015-0.12450%-0.02
Steve Francis-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.16-0.01-0.061626%-0.092-0.02757%-0.03

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.13-0.000.071072%0.071-0.011275%-0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.010.051164%0.041-0.02367%-0.02
Channing Frye0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01762%0.053-0.072100%0.01
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00636%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.030.00956%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.04625%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.011057%0.054-0.103100%0.01
Jackie Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01420%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01839%-0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.000.00125%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.532.215.828.01.832.2140.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +31.9%
ORL +5.7%
ORL +3.1%
ORL +14.0%
NYK -4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNYKNBAORLNYKNBA
this game16.215.115.6112.998.9104.4
season16.415.7104.4102.1
opponent15.415.7108.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.815.218.016.816.2
NYK15.217.513.314.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu57550.67-0.170.84-0.0625-103515.916.5-0.6016.213.42.79
Jameer Nelson47470.51-0.010.52-0.1121-62716.216.10.1015.914.31.66
Steve Francis81770.410.090.320.09114716.116.8-0.7714.717.5-2.80
Pat Garrity51470.340.160.180.02114716.615.60.9915.414.80.61
Dwight Howard64640.260.240.030.0096315.817.0-1.2715.015.5-0.55
Mario Kasun13120.120.38-0.25-0.0569-315.316.3-0.9917.614.82.82
DeShawn Stevenson58580.080.42-0.340.14-217-1916.316.00.2615.115.3-0.22
Tony Battie47470.070.43-0.350.16-318-2117.015.31.7014.216.2-1.99
Grant Hill46470.030.47-0.440.09-217-1915.716.6-0.8414.216.1-1.90
Terence Morris110.000.50-0.500.03-116-1723.016.16.9110.015.2-5.19

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson5455-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-222913.916.9-3.0116.415.80.58
Stephon Marbury6062-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-202514.616.2-1.6616.914.72.13
Antonio Davis1412-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-12916.814.81.9516.116.2-0.09
Eddy Curry7375-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-192314.617.3-2.6816.116.5-0.42
Channing Frye5457-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-12914.715.8-1.0517.014.92.12
Jackie Butler1211-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-8116.614.91.6714.016.5-2.45
Qyntel Woods2828-0.23-0.270.030.03-9-6-315.015.2-0.2416.915.81.10
Trevor Ariza6465-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-6-315.015.5-0.5515.816.9-1.10
Jamal Crawford4545-0.48-0.02-0.450.11-205-2515.814.51.2815.816.5-0.79
Malik Rose2831-0.48-0.02-0.470.04-183-2116.414.61.8715.616.4-0.77
Nate Robinson2324-0.50-0.00-0.500.15-227-2918.214.14.1314.516.7-2.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 91, SEA 740.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,095.1%
IND 90, NYK 780.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,095.1%
UTA 102, POR 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%