NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.4 [419]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +41.5%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	6.0 [383]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -9.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ivan Rabb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05
Shelvin Mack	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	63%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	7	37%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Julian Washburn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.10	0.00	6	71%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.39,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.10	0.32	0.00	10	67%	0.41	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	15	59%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	71%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	17	57%	0.08	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	28.3	14.7	24.3	2.4	40.6	135.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.4%

CHA +4.7%

MEM -4.5%

CHA +7.8%

MEM -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	17.5	14.6	14.3	103.4	109.9	109.3
season	15.4	14.6		105.4	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.2		111.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	20.0	17.0	18.6	17.5
CHA	17.6	12.8	15.1	12.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Caboclo	43	41	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.24	6	-14	20	17.4	17.6	-0.19	15.3	13.9	1.38
Joakim Noah	38	37	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.21	7	-15	22	19.2	16.2	3.08	15.6	13.8	1.79
Ivan Rabb	50	50	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.12	4	-12	16	18.9	15.7	3.21	15.2	13.8	1.38
Julian Washburn	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.25	-6	-2	-4	20.5	16.1	4.42	15.0	14.4	0.62
Shelvin Mack	67	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	-2	-4	16.9	19.3	-2.45	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Jevon Carter	64	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	5	-18	17.6	17.2	0.43	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Justin Holiday	67	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	-1	-6	16.4	20.8	-4.38	14.3	15.4	-1.13
JaMychal Green	37	39	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.46	-10	2	-12	16.2	18.3	-2.10	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Marc Gasol	51	54	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.47	-15	7	-22	16.2	19.2	-3.08	13.8	15.6	-1.79

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	69	67	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-6	20	14.1	16.0	-1.84	17.1	18.6	-1.49
Bismack Biyombo	62	59	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-5	18	14.1	15.6	-1.56	17.9	16.5	1.42
Malik Monk	47	47	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-9	26	13.0	16.2	-3.18	19.3	15.5	3.82
Kemba Walker	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	0	8	14.8	13.5	1.30	16.5	21.1	-4.62
Marvin Williams	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	14.6	14.4	0.16	17.6	17.3	0.31
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	47	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	2	4	14.4	14.7	-0.28	18.2	16.7	1.56
Jeremy Lamb	27	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	14	-20	16.1	13.9	2.15	16.0	18.0	-1.99
Willy Hernangomez	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	17.6	14.1	3.50	12.8	18.1	-5.31
Miles Bridges	19	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	15.5	14.3	1.22	20.4	16.7	3.66
Tony Parker	40	41	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.22	-4	12	-16	15.1	14.1	1.05	16.9	18.0	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.66,0.96,1	90.3%
IND 95, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.78,0.99,1	90.2%
BOS 87, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.77,0.92,1	90.1%