NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	105		Excitement	4.6 [927]		MVP	Jahlil Okafor (NOP): +20.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	2.2 [352]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -10.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.02	11	80%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	16	55%	0.14	4	-0.10	6	33%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Frank Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	69%	0.11	7	-0.14	11	73%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	15	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Julian Washburn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.6	25.4	16.8	26.3	3.4	32.5	135.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.3%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +19.1%

MEM -10.3%

MEM -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.3	108.2	88.5	109.3
season	13.4	15.4		110.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.2		107.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.2	14.4	12.2	15.0	13.9
MEM	15.8	16.3	16.1	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	67	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.19	23	-3	26	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Frank Jackson	33	33	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	2	16	12.0	14.9	-2.97	17.7	15.0	2.70
Elfrid Payton	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	11	-2	14.4	13.0	1.43	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Darius Miller	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	5	10	13.4	14.6	-1.18	16.2	15.6	0.60
Julius Randle	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	10	0	13.6	14.4	-0.76	16.6	15.0	1.59
Jahlil Okafor	70	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	16	-12	14.5	12.6	1.90	15.2	18.0	-2.80
E'Twaun Moore	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	15	-10	14.6	13.4	1.18	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Jrue Holiday	78	78	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	15	-10	14.9	10.1	4.75	15.2	18.9	-3.65
Tim Frazier	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	12	-4	11.8	14.4	-2.64	18.4	15.4	2.95
Cheick Diallo	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	7.0	14.0	-7.00	31.0	15.8	15.23

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Washburn	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	26.5	15.7	10.80	18.0	13.8	4.16
Yuta Watanabe	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-16	12	17.2	15.7	1.51	11.2	14.3	-3.11
Jaren Jackson Jr.	64	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-19	18	15.1	17.7	-2.59	14.3	13.2	1.04
Mike Conley	78	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-17	14	15.2	19.0	-3.78	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Ivan Rabb	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	-8	-4	17.8	15.5	2.32	11.2	14.6	-3.37
Marc Gasol	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-14	8	15.3	17.6	-2.32	15.1	11.1	3.92
Garrett Temple	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-12	4	15.4	18.2	-2.78	14.7	11.2	3.43
Jevon Carter	31	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	0	-20	16.9	15.4	1.49	11.8	15.0	-3.16
Justin Holiday	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-11	2	16.2	15.0	1.24	14.8	11.3	3.50
JaMychal Green	28	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-3	-14	17.7	15.2	2.47	13.5	14.1	-0.60
Shelvin Mack	28	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	-3	-14	16.7	15.6	1.16	12.3	14.7	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
LAC 102, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
ORL 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%