inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 102 Excitement2.0 [1285] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +13.8%
Denver Nuggets 124 Comeback1.3 [1304] LVPCollin Sexton (CLE): -6.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Hood0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.000.08975%0.071-0.026100%0.01
Ante Zizic0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.170.000.141277%0.0300.00683%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04580%0.0300.0000%0.00
Cedi Osman0.020,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021068%0.064-0.04580%0.01
Jordan Clarkson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.031254%0.0200.0000%0.00
Deng Adel0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jaron Blossomgame-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Cameron Payne-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0200%-0.012-0.0320%-0.02
Alec Burks-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.030.000.07457%-0.031-0.026100%0.00
Collin Sexton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021337%-0.023-0.041100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.000.001276%0.151-0.0110%-0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.160.000.071476%0.112-0.026100%0.02
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.000.087107%0.0800.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04881%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.041164%0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.06736%0.0210.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.071167%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.07729%0.0110.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01362%0.012-0.02250%-0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02550%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.527.515.524.22.029.0125.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +35.4%
CLE -0.0%
DEN +7.6%
DEN +8.8%
CLE -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game15.915.414.3109.7136.3109.3
season15.514.8106.3112.0
opponent14.613.9108.1116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.915.014.516.515.9
DEN17.213.216.814.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deng Adel9100.00-0.500.500.03-1-212017.415.71.7315.115.5-0.36
Cedi Osman5959-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-181415.217.0-1.8115.215.8-0.56
Cameron Payne3837-0.12-0.380.260.09-7-15815.116.4-1.3116.414.71.71
Rodney Hood5151-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-181415.616.3-0.6916.114.61.46
Ante Zizic6161-0.18-0.320.130.28-16-6-1015.416.8-1.4214.716.8-2.11
Matthew Dellavedova2826-0.21-0.290.090.03-8-14616.415.70.7315.515.40.12
Collin Sexton6565-0.29-0.21-0.090.12-14-8-615.716.4-0.7315.415.5-0.12
Channing Frye2927-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-11017.015.41.5716.614.91.72
Alec Burks4341-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-9-416.115.70.4814.716.0-1.29
Jaron Blossomgame3533-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-11-11017.215.12.1116.314.91.44
Jordan Clarkson4745-0.41-0.09-0.320.20-21-1-2016.115.60.5014.416.4-2.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee37410.380.120.25-0.06157815.015.7-0.7016.315.60.69
Gary Harris31340.350.150.20-0.001210214.715.8-1.0716.815.41.39
Nikola Jokic51520.320.180.14-0.292112016.214.41.7716.115.60.44
Jamal Murray47490.270.230.03-0.261841416.214.61.5615.616.2-0.53
Torrey Craig51510.250.250.01-0.221661015.415.4-0.0116.615.01.52
Will Barton40420.250.25-0.010.07616-1015.415.40.0115.016.6-1.52
Monte Morris37380.230.27-0.030.09517-1214.516.1-1.6115.815.9-0.11
Paul Millsap44450.160.34-0.18-0.25148615.615.20.3815.216.5-1.28
Malik Beasley60590.150.35-0.20-0.141012-215.814.71.0715.416.8-1.39
Trey Lyles39380.140.36-0.220.20-224-2614.616.1-1.4915.716.0-0.24
Brandon Goodwin760.000.50-0.500.03-123-2415.415.40.0118.315.72.62
Tyler Lydon11100.000.50-0.500.12-426-3015.515.40.0416.815.81.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
POR 82, DET 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CLE 93, NYK 1250.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%