inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 82 Excitement1.8 [1305] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +7.8%
Detroit Pistons 91 Comeback1.2 [1226] LVPMartell Webster (POR): -5.8%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.10-0.000.061561%0.0300.00667%-0.00
Joel Przybilla0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06480%0.0000.002100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03456%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Taurean Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01460%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03420%-0.021-0.012100%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02825%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.001030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.03762%-0.006-0.062100%0.00
Martell Webster-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.051029%-0.042-0.02475%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.001263%0.101-0.02367%-0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.02-0.05650%0.071-0.01250%-0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.00-0.06650%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.01-0.04571%0.053-0.00450%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001054%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04367%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02862%0.023-0.0100%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05764%0.0100.0000%0.00
Primoz Brezec00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02460%-0.011-0.002100%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.021045%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.627.316.620.43.327.6124.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +43.0%
POR -2.6%
DET +5.6%
DET +3.9%
DET +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDETNBAPORDETNBA
this game17.817.115.4100.0109.6105.7
season16.716.8105.5108.8
opponent15.815.4101.3106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR19.518.018.415.717.8
DET20.514.716.817.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Green1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.3813-223513.618.7-5.0317.717.00.70
Raef LaFrentz2222-0.00-0.500.49-0.4415-243915.718.6-2.9217.017.1-0.07
Josh McRoberts2022-0.02-0.480.47-0.3110-192914.718.8-4.1216.917.2-0.25
Channing Frye2425-0.22-0.280.07-0.282-111316.518.4-1.8616.817.2-0.48
Joel Przybilla4039-0.24-0.260.010.11-123-1519.216.52.7017.816.41.41
Sergio Rodriguez2022-0.28-0.22-0.050.10-134-1718.517.60.9015.017.9-2.85
Travis Outlaw3133-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-90-917.817.8-0.0715.618.1-2.47
Steve Blake5251-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-134-1718.516.71.7618.415.13.26
LaMarcus Aldridge5656-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-145-1918.516.32.1517.815.62.23
Jarrett Jack6462-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-134-1718.515.62.9016.917.8-0.95
Martell Webster6768-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-112-1318.116.51.5716.818.3-1.51

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson46460.410.090.310.1781716.417.9-1.5317.018.9-1.96
Arron Afflalo46440.390.110.270.1581716.218.2-2.0217.218.6-1.37
Rodney Stuckey44440.300.200.100.3009-915.918.5-2.6216.918.9-2.06
Jarvis Hayes37360.300.200.090.2427-515.918.1-2.1716.319.0-2.64
Rasheed Wallace35350.270.230.04-0.1715-62117.816.61.2219.216.82.36
Jason Maxiell40390.230.27-0.040.1436-316.218.0-1.7817.318.3-0.97
Tayshaun Prince46460.200.30-0.09-0.0072518.115.92.1719.016.32.64
Chauncey Billups39380.200.30-0.10-0.0690918.515.92.6218.916.92.06
Richard Hamilton37380.110.39-0.270.0818-718.216.22.0218.617.21.37
Antonio McDyess34340.090.41-0.310.0136-317.916.51.3819.416.72.67
Primoz Brezec320.000.50-0.500.06-211-1318.317.01.2811.018.0-6.99
Walter Herrmann880.000.50-0.500.26-918-2718.616.91.6914.418.2-3.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
CLE 102, DEN 1240.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CLE 93, NYK 1250.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%