NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	2.0 [1258]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +8.3%
New York Knicks	125		Comeback	1.3 [1066]		LVP	Dajuan Wagner (CLE): -8.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	16	56%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	20	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	22	46%	-0.06	5	-0.03	10	90%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	15	73%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.00	8	100%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	79%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.17	0.00	0.14	15	81%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	36%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	6	17%	0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.2	17.4	22.4	2.6	27.6	125.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.1%

NYK +1.2%

NYK +11.5%

CLE -5.7%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	15.5	92.1	122.5	101.6
season	15.1	15.6		94.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	14.9		104.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	15.0	13.8	12.7	14.2
NYK	14.5	13.8	15.6	13.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-20	8	12.3	15.1	-2.71	13.6	14.5	-0.93
Milt Palacio	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-15	-2	15.2	12.8	2.42	14.6	13.6	0.99
Michael Stewart	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-20	8	15.4	13.8	1.65	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Smush Parker	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.14	-13	-19	6	13.3	15.0	-1.76	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-13	-6	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.4	13.9	0.54
Bimbo Coles	17	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-17	2	14.8	14.1	0.68	13.0	14.4	-1.45
Carlos Boozer	82	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.30	-21	-11	-10	14.2	14.4	-0.21	14.6	12.4	2.26
Dajuan Wagner	98	97	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.33	-23	-9	-14	14.1	17.7	-3.57	14.3	11.2	3.13
Jumaine Jones	93	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	-4	-24	14.2	14.6	-0.46	14.4	11.2	3.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	49	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	7	18	14.2	14.1	0.12	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Allan Houston	68	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.52	33	-1	34	14.3	14.0	0.26	14.6	13.4	1.22
Kurt Thomas	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.35	26	6	20	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.9	13.4	1.48
Shandon Anderson	22	22	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	18	-4	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.9	14.0	0.91
Charlie Ward	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.30	19	13	6	12.2	15.6	-3.42	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Howard Eisley	60	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	19	-6	15.6	12.2	3.42	14.7	13.5	1.20
Latrell Sprewell	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.30	18	14	4	14.8	12.9	1.94	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Lee Nailon	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	29	-26	14.0	14.3	-0.32	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Michael Doleac	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	27	-22	12.4	14.7	-2.25	14.5	14.1	0.39
Travis Knight	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	30	-28	13.0	14.4	-1.41	15.7	13.9	1.81
Lavor Postell	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	13.1	14.4	-1.29	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Othella Harrington	50	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	29	-26	14.6	13.8	0.83	13.2	15.1	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CLE 102, DEN 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHI 79, SAC 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%