NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	108		Excitement	6.1 [627]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +26.1%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.6 [188]		LVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): -18.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.05	0.05	27	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	15	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	30%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	6	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.01	17	70%	0.26	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.02	12	67%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.01	16	44%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	15	45%	0.01	6	-0.19	1	0%	-0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	12	29%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	26.4	15.4	23.7	1.7	32.3	125.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.5%

CHA +0.6%

CHA +17.6%

CHA +14.5%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAS	NBA	CHA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	14.3	114.9	98.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.8		110.4	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	14.5	17.5	17.3	15.9
SAS	15.9	13.7	13.8	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-4	23	16.5	15.0	1.53	14.9	14.3	0.60
Kemba Walker	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-1	17	16.4	14.5	1.89	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Bismack Biyombo	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	1	13	16.5	15.5	1.09	15.2	14.3	0.94
Marvin Williams	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	7	1	16.4	15.3	1.04	13.3	16.6	-3.24
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	14.9	17.2	-2.37	15.7	13.5	2.20
Nicolas Batum	60	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	4	7	16.6	14.8	1.81	14.1	15.7	-1.63
Miles Bridges	37	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	11	-7	14.6	16.8	-2.14	15.9	14.0	1.90
Devonte' Graham	21	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	12	-9	14.9	16.2	-1.34	14.9	14.6	0.22
Tony Parker	38	39	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	15	-15	15.4	16.3	-0.93	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Malik Monk	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	18	-21	13.9	16.2	-2.31	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Willy Hernangomez	27	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	19	-23	16.4	15.7	0.70	14.6	14.7	-0.09

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-12	9	6.0	14.8	-8.78	20.5	15.8	4.65
Pau Gasol	21	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-15	15	14.5	14.7	-0.22	18.1	15.4	2.80
Quincy Pondexter	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-10	5	13.0	15.0	-1.99	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Dante Cunningham	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-7	-1	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Davis Bertans	58	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-11	7	14.1	15.7	-1.67	14.9	17.8	-2.85
Jakob Poeltl	21	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-8	1	15.1	14.6	0.52	15.7	16.0	-0.39
Derrick White	69	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-8	1	14.9	14.2	0.67	16.3	15.1	1.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-7	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.52	16.0	15.7	0.39
DeMar DeRozan	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-8	1	15.0	13.4	1.61	16.3	14.6	1.72
Patty Mills	46	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	-1	-13	15.2	14.2	0.94	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Bryn Forbes	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-3	-9	14.8	14.3	0.57	16.1	15.4	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 111, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%
NYK 106, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
CLE 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.9%