NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	6.0 [663]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +20.0%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	1.4 [416]		LVP	Tony Delk (ATL): -10.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	-0.00	12	85%	0.27	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	19	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	7	82%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	20	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	11	68%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	9	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	25.3	16.3	25.3	2.0	27.0	121.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +65.1%

ATL -1.7%

ATL -13.2%

ATL -0.6%

NYK +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.5	117.8	103.4	104.0
season	15.8	15.6		103.9	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		108.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	16.3	17.2	15.7	15.6
ATL	16.6	15.0	15.5	19.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.05	21	-7	28	15.5	16.3	-0.82	16.5	16.8	-0.25
Jamal Crawford	81	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-5	24	15.5	16.6	-1.04	16.8	14.4	2.36
Stephon Marbury	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-2	18	15.4	17.5	-2.09	16.7	15.4	1.37
Tim Thomas	76	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	2	10	15.3	17.3	-1.97	16.7	15.6	1.13
Jerome Williams	27	26	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	8	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.7	16.1	1.54
Michael Sweetney	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	1	12	14.9	16.4	-1.47	17.0	16.1	0.84
Maurice Taylor	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	14	-14	17.3	15.3	1.97	15.0	16.9	-1.85
Trevor Ariza	23	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	21	-28	17.3	15.1	2.20	15.4	16.9	-1.48
Malik Rose	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	24	-34	17.1	14.9	2.20	15.2	17.3	-2.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-15	16	16.5	16.6	-0.06	16.5	15.2	1.33
Royal Ivey	28	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-10	6	17.2	16.2	1.00	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Donta Smith	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	15.7	16.9	-1.17	17.8	14.7	3.13
Tony Delk	61	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	16.5	16.7	-0.22	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Predrag Drobnjak	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-8	2	17.8	16.4	1.47	17.9	15.3	2.65
Obinna Ekezie	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	16.3	17.0	-0.74	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Josh Smith	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-8	2	16.1	18.0	-1.88	15.5	16.1	-0.68
Boris Diaw	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-6	-2	16.6	16.4	0.20	16.2	14.7	1.55
Tyronn Lue	58	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	-3	-8	16.3	17.0	-0.67	15.3	16.2	-0.82
Tom Gugliotta	57	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	5	-24	17.4	15.1	2.34	15.2	16.4	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, VAN 97	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CHA 108, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.2%
ORL 107, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.9%