NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	127		Excitement	9.0 [171]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +59.9%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	5.6 [451]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -16.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.60	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.6	0.23	0.38	0.01	26	75%	0.77	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.07
Kevin Durant	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	20	64%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Quinn Cook	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	80%	0.11	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.46	0.46	0.26	0.21	0.00	14	90%	0.50	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36	0.36	0.26	0.10	-0.00	21	76%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	47%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	12	31%	0.02	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	17	44%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	24.7	14.6	25.1	2.5	30.4	126.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +10.5%

GSW +28.4%

GSW +15.5%

SAC -7.8%

GSW +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	14.3	128.3	125.5	109.3
season	13.4	13.3		114.5	109.2
opponent	14.3	15.0		110.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	15.9	15.1	14.0	14.5
SAC	15.5	15.4	14.3	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	80	79	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.42	12	-8	20	13.9	17.1	-3.14	15.2	12.7	2.53
Draymond Green	70	67	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-4	12	13.5	16.9	-3.32	14.8	14.6	0.12
Kevin Durant	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-6	16	14.6	14.0	0.65	15.1	13.5	1.59
Klay Thompson	82	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-6	16	14.5	14.8	-0.30	14.9	14.0	0.90
Andre Iguodala	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-5	14	14.6	14.5	0.09	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Alfonzo McKinnie	15	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	6	-8	16.2	14.2	1.99	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Jonas Jerebko	28	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	11	-18	13.9	14.8	-0.92	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Jordan Bell	14	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.20	6	-2	8	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.5	14.6	0.93
Kevon Looney	48	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	14	-24	15.1	14.0	1.14	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Shaun Livingston	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	16.2	14.4	1.89	15.6	14.6	0.98
Quinn Cook	19	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	12	-20	17.1	13.9	3.14	12.7	15.2	-2.53

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	34	34	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.03	11	-15	26	14.5	14.9	-0.39	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Harry Giles III	26	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-9	14	13.0	15.3	-2.35	14.8	14.4	0.41
Buddy Hield	69	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.7	14.1	0.56
Bogdan Bogdanovic	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	14.7	14.8	-0.16	13.9	16.2	-2.22
Ben McLemore	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	2	-8	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Willie Cauley-Stein	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-2	0	15.3	13.7	1.58	14.9	13.9	0.97
Nemanja Bjelica	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	6	-16	15.2	13.7	1.43	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Justin Jackson	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	14.4	15.4	-0.93	15.3	12.7	2.58
De'Aaron Fox	64	65	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	11	-26	14.9	14.5	0.39	14.6	14.4	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.35,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.24,0.16,0	89.5%
BOS 94, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	89.1%
IND 92, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.04,0	89.0%