NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	121		Excitement	2.4 [1260]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +8.0%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.3 [914]		LVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): -6.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	15	54%	0.09	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.08	11	67%	0.10	7	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.05	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	10	82%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	9	89%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Johnathan Motley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	6	21%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.05	4	-0.04	11	55%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	8	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	8	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.15	14	67%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	27.4	14.5	30.4	2.3	29.7	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.2%

LAC +2.5%

LAC +14.0%

LAC +3.8%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	14.3	122.2	114.4	109.3
season	13.9	14.4		111.3	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.0	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.8	15.0	13.7	17.9	14.6
PHX	18.2	16.3	12.0	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	0	10	15.1	13.8	1.33	13.9	16.2	-2.32
Danilo Gallinari	74	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	14.8	13.8	1.02	15.2	13.8	1.39
Lou Williams	58	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	9	-8	15.3	13.6	1.67	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Tobias Harris	73	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	15.1	13.0	2.07	15.1	14.1	0.99
Montrezl Harrell	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.49	-7	17	-24	15.0	14.1	0.86	13.1	16.5	-3.45
Marcin Gortat	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.28	17	-7	24	14.1	15.0	-0.86	16.5	13.1	3.45
Mike Scott	16	17	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	-3	16	12.9	14.9	-1.94	17.4	14.3	3.07
Tyrone Wallace	26	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	5	0	13.9	14.8	-0.92	13.8	15.2	-1.41
Avery Bradley	44	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	7	-4	13.7	15.3	-1.63	16.0	14.0	1.99
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	4	2	13.7	15.1	-1.38	16.5	13.7	2.75
Johnathan Motley	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	6.5	14.7	-8.23	8.0	15.0	-6.97
Sindarius Thornwell	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	21	-32	14.7	14.6	0.16	7.0	15.3	-8.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	62	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.52	14	-24	38	14.6	15.3	-0.72	15.4	12.9	2.53
De'Anthony Melton	32	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	16.4	14.1	2.31	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Jamal Crawford	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	13.4	15.9	-2.50	14.8	14.4	0.48
Richaun Holmes	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	14.0	15.4	-1.43	15.0	14.2	0.85
T.J. Warren	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	15.6	13.6	2.00	14.9	14.0	0.88
Deandre Ayton	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.4	14.0	1.43	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Elie Okobo	38	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	13.4	15.7	-2.35	13.5	15.2	-1.63
Josh Jackson	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.4	15.9	-2.53	13.3	15.4	-2.08
Kelly Oubre Jr.	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	6	-22	15.5	14.3	1.20	15.2	14.0	1.24
Devin Booker	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	15.7	12.3	3.39	14.8	14.0	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 116, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 119, PHI 68	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%