NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	2.3 [1265]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +7.2%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	1.1 [595]		LVP	Devin Brown (NOH): -5.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.19	0.00	0.12	10	81%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	68%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	15	51%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	12	64%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	12	66%	0.03	4	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	15	66%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	17	66%	0.04	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	5	64%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	29.0	14.8	27.2	1.8	30.0	126.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.3%

UTA +4.6%

UTA +10.0%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	118.7	101.1	106.4
season	15.3	16.6		107.7	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	13.1	17.3	16.5	15.5
NOH	15.7	16.8	14.0	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-2	18	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.2	18.7	-3.50
Mehmet Okur	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	2	10	16.3	13.3	2.94	15.5	16.8	-1.38
Andrei Kirilenko	60	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	2	10	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Deron Williams	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	8	-2	16.1	13.9	2.25	15.6	16.3	-0.67
Carlos Boozer	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	12	-10	15.1	16.2	-1.10	16.3	15.1	1.11
Brevin Knight	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	3	8	13.9	16.1	-2.22	16.6	15.5	1.08
Paul Millsap	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	15.9	15.2	0.73	15.4	16.1	-0.74
Kyle Korver	53	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	14	-14	15.3	15.7	-0.40	16.3	15.2	1.04
Matt Harpring	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	6	2	13.4	15.9	-2.46	19.2	15.2	3.99
Ronnie Price	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.0	15.5	-1.47	8.0	15.9	-7.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	12	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-15	16	15.9	15.8	0.08	13.9	15.6	-1.74
Julian Wright	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-17	20	16.2	15.5	0.67	16.3	14.7	1.64
Devin Brown	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-15	16	16.5	15.7	0.74	15.6	15.4	0.21
Hilton Armstrong	46	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	16.0	15.7	0.38	15.9	14.9	1.06
Antonio Daniels	41	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-8	2	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.4	16.2	-1.86
Chris Paul	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.9	15.8	0.14	16.0	14.3	1.72
Sean Marks	34	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-4	-6	15.6	16.0	-0.37	15.5	15.4	0.05
Rasual Butler	80	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-1	-12	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.8	13.5	2.32
Peja Stojakovic	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	3	-20	15.8	16.0	-0.19	14.6	16.5	-1.84
David West	83	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	15.8	16.1	-0.28	15.1	17.9	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 121, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DAL 113, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SEA 111, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%