NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	9.0 [175]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): +32.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	11.4 [149]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (SAC): -15.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	19	65%	0.20	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	18	58%	0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	12	31%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.34,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.07	0.26	0.01	13	70%	0.38	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	21	58%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.01	14	67%	0.17	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	14	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.08
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	17	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	0.3	26.8	14.8	26.2	2.4	30.3	127.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.6%

SAC -1.4%

LAL +35.6%

LAL +5.3%

SAC -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	14.3	110.7	115.2	109.3
season	13.3	13.5		109.2	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	12.3	14.3	13.9	13.6
LAL	15.3	14.4	12.4	14.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	46	45	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-21	35	14.2	13.1	1.12	15.0	13.4	1.63
Ben McLemore	35	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-10	13	12.9	14.0	-1.11	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Justin Jackson	49	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.16	-5	-2	-3	14.9	12.5	2.40	14.1	14.0	0.10
Kosta Koufos	9	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	3	-13	17.1	13.3	3.82	12.4	14.2	-1.84
Yogi Ferrell	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	4	-15	17.5	12.8	4.70	11.5	14.6	-3.10
De'Aaron Fox	74	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-7	7	12.8	15.6	-2.78	14.8	12.2	2.57
Buddy Hield	82	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	13.0	16.0	-2.99	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	14.6	11.7	2.98	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Willie Cauley-Stein	72	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	12.4	16.5	-4.19	14.3	13.5	0.87
Iman Shumpert	62	63	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	4	-15	13.0	14.5	-1.44	13.8	14.5	-0.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	59	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.34	19	-12	31	13.8	14.5	-0.67	14.9	11.9	2.95
Josh Hart	88	85	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.28	18	-11	29	13.6	16.4	-2.73	13.7	13.4	0.28
Brandon Ingram	86	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-9	25	13.3	17.4	-4.03	13.7	13.3	0.35
JaVale McGee	54	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	0	7	14.7	13.4	1.35	12.1	15.2	-3.08
Kyle Kuzma	87	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	5	-3	14.2	13.6	0.55	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Svi Mykhailiuk	21	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	6	-5	13.8	14.1	-0.38	14.4	13.4	0.95
Lance Stephenson	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	16.1	13.7	2.33	15.7	13.3	2.47
Tyson Chandler	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	5	-3	12.9	14.6	-1.69	14.4	13.2	1.18
Johnathan Williams	8	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	13	-19	19.5	13.6	5.88	13.9	13.6	0.25
Lonzo Ball	70	70	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	-0.05	-20	27	-47	14.7	12.7	2.03	12.6	15.8	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.43,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.83,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.15,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.45,0.78,0.97,1	91.1%
MIA 99, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.68,0.72,1	91.0%
DET 86, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	90.2%