NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	5.3 [792]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +22.1%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.8 [841]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -7.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	77%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.06	14	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	19	54%	0.12	6	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	23	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	3	87%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.02	-0.01	12	85%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	19	59%	0.15	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.02	13	59%	0.11	8	-0.18	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	25.4	14.8	30.0	1.8	31.2	132.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.6%

DET +16.4%

DET +22.8%

WAS -14.1%

DET +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.3	97.9	105.0	109.3
season	13.8	15.3		109.8	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.2	14.8	14.8	13.5	13.8
DET	15.4	14.6	15.2	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	54	57	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.21	15	-26	41	13.2	14.6	-1.37	16.5	13.7	2.77
Troy Brown Jr.	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.0	13.9	-5.85	21.0	15.2	5.79
Chasson Randle	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	15.9	13.3	2.61	16.6	14.9	1.66
Jeff Green	18	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-3	-5	13.8	13.8	-0.02	15.3	15.3	0.04
Tomas Satoransky	42	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	13.9	13.7	0.24	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Trevor Ariza	80	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	0	-11	13.4	15.6	-2.25	15.1	15.8	-0.64
Thomas Bryant	29	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	4	-19	14.9	13.3	1.62	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Bradley Beal	91	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	13.8	13.7	0.14	15.3	14.9	0.44
John Wall	78	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	13.3	15.9	-2.61	14.9	16.6	-1.66
Markieff Morris	73	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	3	-17	14.2	12.5	1.72	14.8	16.6	-1.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	46	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.07	25	-14	39	14.8	15.6	-0.77	14.1	13.5	0.57
Reggie Jackson	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-9	29	14.9	15.8	-0.88	14.5	12.6	1.97
Andre Drummond	76	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-5	21	14.9	16.3	-1.40	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Reggie Bullock	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	15.0	15.9	-0.96	13.3	14.9	-1.55
Blake Griffin	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	0	11	15.1	15.6	-0.45	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Jon Leuer	29	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	11	-11	15.6	15.1	0.45	14.5	13.6	0.92
Stanley Johnson	36	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	13	-15	16.5	14.6	1.92	14.6	13.4	1.15
Zaza Pachulia	25	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	16	-21	16.3	14.9	1.40	15.7	13.2	2.49
Jose Calderon	38	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.22	-9	20	-29	15.8	14.9	0.88	12.6	14.5	-1.97
Langston Galloway	50	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.18	-11	22	-33	15.2	15.4	-0.17	13.6	13.9	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.98,1	93.2%
LAL 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	93.1%
DAL 87, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.1%