NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	5.5 [705]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +12.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.6 [1182]		LVP	Brandon Rush (IND): -16.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	14	59%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	12	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	15	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.11	0.03	10	59%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	68%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	12	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	-0.06	24	55%	0.26	6	-0.22	10	80%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	64%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.1	15.8	23.6	1.8	34.2	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.2%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +12.6%

CLE +12.2%

CLE +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.3	102.2	108.8	106.0
season	14.2	16.1		102.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		103.3	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	13.4	15.9	17.9	15.5
CLE	16.2	16.0	14.7	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	34	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	14.1	16.3	-2.23	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Josh McRoberts	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	11.3	15.6	-4.27	18.3	15.9	2.40
Mike Dunleavy	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	0	-5	15.0	15.8	-0.83	16.6	15.6	0.98
A.J. Price	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-12	19	15.2	15.6	-0.38	17.4	14.9	2.47
Troy Murphy	80	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.53	9	-14	23	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.1	15.6	0.46
Earl Watson	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	16.3	12.6	3.66	15.6	17.5	-1.91
Brandon Rush	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.7	13.7	2.07	16.0	15.9	0.12
Roy Hibbert	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	1	-7	16.8	13.8	2.99	16.3	15.6	0.65
Dahntay Jones	62	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.10	-22	17	-39	14.3	17.9	-3.56	15.1	17.7	-2.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	58	58	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.16	20	-15	35	14.8	18.2	-3.41	16.4	13.8	2.65
Antawn Jamison	65	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	16.1	15.7	0.45	15.5	15.5	0.01
LeBron James	75	76	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-9	23	15.7	17.6	-1.96	14.7	19.1	-4.35
Mo Williams	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	15.4	17.5	-2.09	17.1	11.9	5.16
Anderson Varejao	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	4	-3	16.5	15.4	1.10	14.9	16.2	-1.24
JJ Hickson	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	1	3	15.4	16.5	-1.10	16.2	14.9	1.24
Delonte West	46	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	9	-13	16.8	15.2	1.52	14.3	16.7	-2.35
Leon Powe	19	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	11	-17	17.8	15.5	2.25	15.7	15.4	0.25
Jawad Williams	37	38	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.03	-19	24	-43	17.6	14.9	2.76	14.1	16.4	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.99,1,1	93.2%
NYK 100, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.73,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.8%
UTA 84, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.5%